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Bitcoin Has 3 Years to Survive | Nic Carter on Bitcoin’s Quantum Vulnerability

1 tim 14 min6 april 2026
What if Bitcoin’s biggest strength becomes its fatal weakness? Nic Carter joins Bankless to unpack why the latest quantum papers changed the threat model, why a 2029 migration window could leave Bitcoin dangerously behind, what a real post-quantum transition would require, and why the fight over Satoshi’s dormant coins may become the most explosive governance battle in Bitcoin history. --- 🎬 DEBRIEF | RYAN & DAVID UNPACKING THE EPISODE https://www.bankless.com/podcast/debrief-bitcoin-has-3-years-to-survive-nic-carter --- BANKLESS SPONSOR TOOLS: 🔮POLYMARKET | #1 PREDICTION MARKET https://bankless.cc/polymarket-podcast 🪐GALAXYONE | SOLANA STAKING https://bankless.cc/GalaxyOne 🦊 METAMASK | DOWNLOAD NOW https://go.metamask.io/BL-Pod-Download 🏅BITGET TRADFI | TRADE GOLD WITH USDT https://bankless.cc/bitget 🎯THE DEFI REPORT | ONCHAIN INSIGHTS https://thedefireport.io/bankless 🐇MEGAETH | 1ST REAL-TIME BLOCKCHAIN https://bankless.cc/megaeth --- TIMESTAMPS 0:00 Nic Carter’s Stark Warning 3:55 Bitcoin’s Status Quo Problem 9:36 The New Quantum Papers 12:07 When Breakthroughs Go Dark 16:28 “We will not get significant prior notice” 21:24 The 9-Minute Attack 31:33 Why 2029 suddenly matters 34:24 Post-Quantum Tradeoffs 46:03 Why Bitcoin Isn’t Reacting 52:21 The Satoshi coin problem 1:02:54 Nic’s salvage-law alternative 1:10:13 Why Ethereum looks more prepared 1:12:25 Does Bitcoin Survive? --- RESOURCES Nic Carter https://x.com/nic_carter Nic’s takeaways from quantum papers https://murmurationstwo.substack.com/p/my-takeaways-from-googles-and-oratomics --- Not financial or tax advice. See our investment disclosures here: https://www.bankless.com/disclosures

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