Oil Traders Weigh Surplus, Geopolitical Risks to Start 2026

Oil steadied on the first trading day of 2026 as expectations for a supply surplus offset geopolitical risks to production in several OPEC+ nations. Middle Eastern markets, including derivatives like the regional Dubai benchmark, faltered amid heavy selling pressure on a key trading window in Asian hours, traders familiar with the matter said. Faced with a seasonal lull in consumption, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries is leaning toward caution.

Tim Moore is a Senior Research Analyst at Clear Street who leads the firm's coverage of the clean energy transition, as well as the oil and gas industry. He discusses the oil market outlook as well as some of the clean energy players that stand to make gains in the year ahead. Tim speaks with Carol Massar, Tim Stenovec and Bloomberg News Big Oil reporter Kevin Crowley on Bloomberg Businessweek Daily.

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