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CONFLICTED

Has Trump Lost the Middle East?

1 tim 6 min9 juni 2026

Aimen returns to bring us up to date on all the latest manoeuvrings in the Middle East.

Aimen and Thomas discuss:

  • Trump’s chaotic, micromanaged Iran diplomacy and reliance on inexperienced “real estate” advisers.
  • Pakistan, Qatar, Oman, Turkey, and Egypt as flawed or compromised mediators with “skin in the game.”
  • Why Aimen thinks Switzerland would be the proper neutral US–Iran mediator.
  • Oman’s tilt toward Iran amid assumptions of American decline and future Iranian regional weight.
  • The UAE–Saudi split over Iran: Emirati hawkishness versus Saudi caution and strategic bruising.
  • Saudi resentment over Yemen, Houthi attacks, Israel’s freer hand, and lack of US security guarantees.
  • Israel, Hezbollah, Lebanon, and Iran: efforts to decouple the Lebanon front from the US–Iran track

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Conflicted is a Message Heard production.

Executive Producers: Jake Warren & Max Warren.

Produced and edited by Thomas Small.

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