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CONFLICTED

Iran War: Will the Ceasefire Hold?

1 tim 23 min10 april 2026

Aimen does his best to explain the sudden and somewhat unexpected ceasefire between the United States and Iran which was announced early on Tuesday.

Aimen and Thomas discuss:

  • Pakistan's role: what game are they playing?
  • Russia's delicate balancing act between Iran and the GCC
  • How GCC leaders cope with President Trump's erratic shifts in messaging and policy
  • Did Netanyahu know about the ceasefire in advance?
  • The potential coup in Lebanon which Israel's intervention stopped
  • Whether Lebanon is included in the ceasefire or not
  • What U.S. military hardware is on its way to the region
  • Why European politicians and diplomats still support containment when it comes to Iran while being gung-ho against Russia
  • How energy dependence helps explain the posture of Pakistan, Egypt, and Turkey
  • How the Islamabad talks between Vance and Ghalibaf are likely to go down

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Conflicted is a Message Heard production.

Executive Producers: Jake Warren & Max Warren.

Produced and edited by Thomas Small.

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