Emad Mostaque Has A 50% P(Doom) & A Plan To Lower It

Emad Mostaque helped kick off the modern AI revolution as the head of Stability AI, the company behind Stable Diffusion. Unlike most AI CEOs, he doesn't sugarcoat the risks of AGI development.

He explains his 50% P(Doom), why we have less than 1,000 days to get our act together, and how his new startup, Intelligent Internet, aims to be a countervailing force against doom of all kinds.

Timestamps

00:00:00 — Cold Open

00:00:39 — Introducing Emad Mostaque

00:02:08 — How Emad Got Involved in AI Development

00:05:46 — The 60-Second Pitch for Intelligent Internet

00:09:29 — What’s Your P(Doom)?™

00:13:32 — Why ASI Doesn’t Need Massive Compute

00:15:56 — AGI Timelines: Cognitive Labor Going to Zero

00:17:29 — Is There a Ceiling Above Human Intelligence?

00:41:22 — Corporations as Slow, Dumb AIs

00:50:19 — Emad’s Mainline Doom Scenario

00:55:28 — Jailbreaks and “Mecha-Hitler” Latent Spaces

00:59:56 — The Last Economy: How to Navigate Economic Doom

01:08:57 — The Coming Unemployment Spike

01:15:13 — Why Isn’t Google Stock Mooning?

01:25:05 — Intelligent Internet as a Solution: Bitcoin for the Intelligence Age

01:33:13 — Can an Aligned Network Stop a Rogue ASI?

01:36:20 — Is the Pause AI Proposal Too Late?

01:40:50 — Are We Facing Russian Roulette Odds with AI?

01:42:29 — Wrap-Up

Links

Emad Mostaque, The Last Economy (Amazon) — https://www.amazon.com/Last-Economy-Guide-Intelligent-Economics/dp/103693411X

Intelligent Internet (ii.inc) —https://ii.inc

Emad Mostaque, Wikipedia — https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Emad_Mostaque

Emad Mostaque on X — https://x.com/EMostaquePause Giant AI Experiments open letter (Future of Life Institute) — https://futureoflife.org/open-letter/pause-giant-ai-experiments/

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