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Epoch After Hours
Teknologi

AI in 2030, Scaling Bottlenecks, and Explosive Growth

2 tim 2 min•16 januari 2025

In our first episode of Epoch After Hours, Ege, Tamay and Jaime dig into what they expect AI to look like by 2030; why economists are underestimating the likelihood of explosive growth; the startling regularity in technological trends like Moore's Law; Moravec’s paradox, and how we might overcome it; and much more!

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Are AI benchmarks doomed?
•1 tim 5 min
AI math capabilities could be jagged for a long time – Daniel Litt
•2 tim 11 min
The EU and the not-so-simple macroeconomics of AI - Luis Garicano
•1 tim 25 min
What does economics actually tell us about AGI? – Phil Trammell
•1 tim 49 min
Forecasting AI progress until 2040
•1 tim 39 min
Is it 3 Years, or 3 Decades Away? Disagreements on AGI Timelines
•4 tim 3 min

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