Is the Recession Imminent? (Ep. 131)

In the latest episode of Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist, dissect the ripple effects of tariffs, high interest rates, and a wavering investment environment on the U.S. and global economies.

With companies freezing investment plans and government spending cooling off, the duo explores how the consumer remains the last line of economic defense—so long as the labor market holds. They also explore why the Fed might be making a mistake by keeping rates elevated, the possibility of a white-flag moment from President Trump, and how diversification remains the smartest play during times of uncertainty.

Key Takeaways

• Tariffs Are Already Reshaping Corporate Behavior
   
• GDP Growth is Vulnerable
   
• Labor Market is the Tipping Point
   
• Fed Policy May Be Too Tight for Too Long
   
• The Market’s Bull Case? Trump Waves the White Flag
   

Next Week's Guest: Cathie Wood
Our next episode will feature Ark Invest’s Cathie Wood, as we’ll dive into tech and recession perspectives.

Connect with Ryan: 

• LinkedIn: Ryan Detrick
• X: Ryan Detrick

Connect with Sonu: 

• LinkedIn: Sonu Varghese
• X: Sonu Varghese

Music Credit: 

• Ryan the Savior of Stocks – by Jake Guttman (This song was created using A.I.) https://suno.com/song/c11f8ece-b4b8-45f0-b6e6-ae0e761708b7

Questions about the show? We’d love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com

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