The Market Leads The Economy—And It’s Heading Down | Weekly Roundup

This week, we discuss why markets lead the economy and a drawdown will trigger a recession, the possibility of stagflation & repercussions of low interest rates, and the impact of Trump’s political agenda on markets and the economy. We also delve into the outlook for oil and gold, market skew, OpEx-driven drawdowns, and more. Enjoy!

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Timestamps:

(00:00) Introduction

(01:44) Macro Overview

(05:21) Recession Predictions

(07:28) Interest Rates, Inflation, & Market Reaction

(10:42) Skale Ad

(11:04) Interest Rates, Inflation, & Market Reaction (Con't)

(14:21) Trump, Populism, & Economic Policy Outlook

(24:35) Historical Comparisons

(31:50) Market Reflexivity & Inflation Expectations

(33:32) Skale Ad

(34:03) Market Reflexivity & Inflation Expectations (Con’t)

(39:10) Skew Dynamics and Volatility

(46:01) Portfolio Allocation Strategies

(49:51) Oil and Gold Market Insights

(54:23) Final Thoughts OpEx Crumbs

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Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.