A Ten Percent Chance — Inside the Week AI Insiders Started Warning Out Loud

On the ninth of September, twenty twenty-six, a man named Evan Hubinger, who runs alignment science at the AI company Anthropic, posted a single sentence on X. He wrote: "We really do earnestly believe AI could kill all humans. I personally think it is greater than ten percent within the next decade." Ten million people read it before the day was out. This is the story of the week AI insiders stopped speaking in code, and started speaking plainly.