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Financial Liquidity Expert: “We are not risk off yet, but there are major headwinds for 2025”

58 min • 19 december 2024

In this conversation, Michael Howell and Pascal Hügli discuss the intricate relationship between liquidity cycles, debt, and financial markets. They explore the current state of liquidity, the implications of the maturity wall on refinancing and liquidity, and the ultimate trends in monetary inflation. Howell emphasizes the importance of understanding these dynamics for making informed investment decisions, particularly in relation to assets like gold and Bitcoin. The discussion also delves into the relationship between the dollar's strength and how Bitcoin will do in a strong dollar environment.

Timestamps:
00:00 Understanding Liquidity Cycles and Market Trends
10:01 The Role of Debt in Financial Markets
20:03 Navigating the Maturity Wall and Its Implications
29:47 Monetary Inflation and Investment Strategies
30:16 Understanding Monetary Easing and Market Reactions
32:45 The Role of the Dollar in Global Liquidity
35:29 Stealth QE
39:24 Treasury Strategies and Market Liquidity
43:42 The Strong Dollar: Implications and Political Dynamics
47:58 Capital Flows and the Future of the Dollar
51:53 Bitcoin's Position in a Strong Dollar Environment


Follow Michael Howell:
https://x.com/crossbordercap

Follow Pascal Hügli:
Twitter - https://x.com/pahueg
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