LessWrong (30+ Karma)

“AI #116: If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies” by Zvi

86 min • 16 maj 2025

If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies is the title of the new book coming September 16 from Eliezer Yudkowsky and Nate Sores. The ‘it’ in question is superintelligence built on anything like the current AI paradigm, and they very much mean this literally. I am less confident in this claim than they are, but it seems rather likely to me. If that is relevant to your interests, and it should be, please consider preordering it.

This week also featured two posts explicitly about AI policy, in the wake of the Senate hearing on AI. First, I gave a Live Look at the Senate AI Hearing, and then I responded directly to arguments about AI Diffusion rules. I totally buy that we can improve upon Biden's proposed AI diffusion rules, especially in finding something less complex and in treating some of our allies better, no one is saying we [...]

---

Outline:

(02:33) Language Models Offer Mundane Utility

(06:24) Language Models Don't Offer Mundane Utility

(06:55) Huh, Upgrades

(08:07) Gemini 2.5 Pro Gets An Ambiguous Upgrade

(15:30) GPT-4o Is Still A (Less) Absurd Sycophant

(20:17) Choose Your Fighter

(20:35) Deepfaketown and Botpocalypse Soon

(20:52) Copyright Confrontation

(26:52) Cheaters Gonna Cheat Cheat Cheat Cheat Cheat

(28:25) They Took Our Jobs

(30:16) Safety Third

(31:00) The Art of the Jailbreak

(31:09) Get Involved

(32:04) If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies

(34:42) Endorsements for Eliezer's Book

(37:11) Why Preorders Matter

(41:14) Great Expectations

(42:07) Introducing

(45:51) In Other AI News

(48:27) Quiet Speculations

(54:35) Four Important Charts

(56:52) Unprompted Suggestions

(01:02:11) Unprompted Suggestions For You

(01:03:06) How to Be a Good Claude

(01:04:00) The Quest for Sane Regulations

(01:14:44) The Week in Audio

(01:14:53) Rhetorical Innovation

(01:20:53) Aligning a Smarter Than Human Intelligence is Difficult

(01:21:34) Is the Pope Worried About AI

(01:22:27) People Are Worried About AI Killing Everyone

(01:23:49) The Lighter Side

---

First published:
May 15th, 2025

Source:
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/CjrbJmtStW4o2ieYN/ai-116-if-anyone-builds-it-everyone-dies

---

Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.

---

Images from the article:

Correlation matrix showing relationships between test scores for psychological measurement variables.
Social media poll showing Yes, No, and Show results options.
Meter showing
Bar graph comparing
Line graph showing electricity generation in China versus United States, 2000-2023.
Funnel plot showing standard error versus Hedges's g statistical measurements
Comparative bar diagram showing total compute capacity between U.S. and Chinese companies.
Diagram showing AlphaEvolve's system workflow between human input and AI components.
Bar graph showing
Two comparison diagrams showing political sycophancy measurements for ChatGPT, past and present.
Horizontal spectrum showing ChatGPT's agreement percentages with users, titled
Sliding scale showing
Bar graph:
Colored grid visualization showing different instruction categories and their distribution.
Nathan Young tweets:
Bar graph:
NIK tweets:
Bar graph:
Two circular charts comparing global industrial production structure: 2000 vs 2030 projection.

The charts show a significant shift in global manufacturing distribution, particularly highlighting the dramatic increase in China's share from 4% in 2000 to a projected 45% in 2030, with corresponding decreases in other regions' shares.
Zvi Mowshowitz tweets:
Heatmap showing
Chat conversation showing a mathematical multiplication problem with detailed calculations and explanation.
Comparison of Twitter and LinkedIn feeds showing contrasting social media attitudes.
Split-screen showing social media feeds, contrasting negative and positive workplace posts.
Bar graph showing percentage of attempted hacks across four models (o1-preview, o1, o3-mini, o3).
Side-by-side comparison of social media interfaces: X (dark mode) and LinkedIn (light mode), showing contrasting posting styles and engagement formats.
Side-by-side display of Twitter and LinkedIn mobile app interfaces.
Two phones showing contrasting social media posts: X and LinkedIn interfaces.
Daniel Faggella tweets:
Ethan Mollick tweets:
Yellow hand holding a blue pen or pencil, simple illustration
Emoji showing person in blue shirt shrugging with confused expression

Apple Podcasts and Spotify do not show images in the episode description. Try Pocket Casts, or another podcast app.

Senaste avsnitt

Podcastbild

00:00 -00:00
00:00 -00:00