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“How Does A Blind Model See The Earth?” by henry

21 min • 11 augusti 2025

Sometimes I'm saddened remembering that we've viewed the Earth from space. We can see it all with certainty: there's no northwest passage to search for, no infinite Siberian expanse, and no great uncharted void below the Cape of Good Hope. But, of all these things, I most mourn the loss of incomplete maps.

In the earliest renditions of the world, you can see the world not as it is, but as it was to one person in particular. They’re each delightfully egocentric, with the cartographer's home most often marking the Exact Center Of The Known World. But as you stray further from known routes, details fade, and precise contours give way to educated guesses at the boundaries of the creator's knowledge. It's really an intimate thing.

If there's one type of mind I most desperately want that view into, it's that of an AI. So, it's in [...]

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Outline:

(01:23) The Setup

(03:56) Results

(03:59) The Qwen 2.5s

(07:03) The Qwen 3s

(07:30) The DeepSeeks

(08:10) Kimi

(08:32) The (Open) Mistrals

(09:24) The LLaMA 3.x Herd

(10:22) The LLaMA 4 Herd

(11:16) The Gemmas

(12:20) The Groks

(13:04) The GPTs

(16:17) The Claudes

(17:11) The Geminis

(18:50) Note: General Shapes

(19:33) Conclusion

The original text contained 4 footnotes which were omitted from this narration.

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First published:
August 11th, 2025

Source:
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/xwdRzJxyqFqgXTWbH/how-does-a-blind-model-see-the-earth

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Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.

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Images from the article:

Historical map showing early Americas, labeled
World map with grid lines, showing continents and Antarctica's edges.
World map showing land probability distribution with latitude and longitude coordinates.
World map showing land probability distribution using blue and green colors.
Land probability map showing global distribution across latitudes and longitudes.
Heat map showing land probability across global latitude and longitude coordinates.
Global land probability map showing latitude versus longitude, titled
Global map showing land probability distribution across different latitudes and longitudes.
Map showing global land probability distribution across latitude and longitude coordinates.
Ancient map of the Mediterranean world, showing Mare Nostrum and surrounding regions.
Land probability map showing concentrated areas in Europe and North America.
World map showing land probability distribution using meta-llama/Llama-3.1-405B-Instruct model
World map showing land probability distribution, with green indicating landmasses.
A global land probability map showing high concentrations in northern latitudes.

World map showing land probability distribution from deepseek/deepseek-prover-v2 model.
World map showing land probability distribution from meta-llama/Llama-3.1-70B-Instruct model.

World map showing land probability data from Qwen/Qwen2.5-7B-Instruct model with geographic distribution.
World map showing land probability distribution from
World map showing land probability distribution in blue and green colors.
World map showing land probability distribution from GPT-4 model predictions.
World map showing land probability distribution with green landmasses and blue oceans.
World map showing land probability distribution from GPT-4 Turbo analysis.
Map showing land probability distribution across global latitudes and longitudes.

World map showing land probability distribution from Google's GEMMA-3 model.
World map showing land probability distribution in green and blue colors.
World map showing land probability distribution with green landmasses against blue ocean.
World map showing land probability distribution with color-coded probability scale.
Map showing land probability distribution using google/gemma-3-27b-it model across global coordinates.
Heat map showing land probability distribution across global latitude and longitude.
World map showing land probability distribution from GPT-4.1-nano model data.
World map showing land probability distribution using GPT-3.5-turbo model's predictions.
Global land probability map showing distribution across latitudes and longitudes.
World map showing land probability distribution from GPT-4O-mini model, using blue-green coloring.
World map showing land probability distribution from meta-llama/Llama-4-maverick model analysis.
World map showing land probability distribution, with green indicating landmasses.
World map showing land probability data from meta-llama/Llama-4-scout model.

The map displays land masses in green against blue oceans, with a probability scale.
henry tweets:
Simple geometric image: blue background with green square in top-right corner.
Green geometric shapes on a bright blue background, minimal design.
World map showing land probability distribution across different latitudes and longitudes.
World map showing land probability distribution, with green indicating land masses.
World map showing land probability distribution using google/gemini-2.5-flash-lite model.
World map showing land probability distribution from Google's Gemini 2.0 model.
World map showing land probability distribution between -80° and 80° latitude.

World map showing land probability distribution using green and blue colors.

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