Future Forecasting: What’s Science, What’s Guesswork? With Lars Tvede and Daniel Kafer

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How to Predict the Future (Without Guessing)

In this episode of the SuperTrends Podcast, Lars Tvede and Daniel Kaeper dive into the art and science of future forecasting. Why are some predictions incredibly accurate, while others turn out to be pure guesswork? We explore why politics, timing, and complexity can make short-term forecasts tricky—even when long-term trends seem obvious. You’ll learn how to separate solid trends from speculative noise and discover which areas of the future you can trust—and which ones you probably shouldn’t.