SpaceX might be the biggest IPO ever but there’s a math problem no one’s pricing in. Once you factor in capital gains, you need to believe it’ll underperform the market by ~50% just to justify selling. That creates an invisible floor under mega-cap stocks and a market increasingly detached from reality. Meanwhile: Allbirds goes from $4B to $40M and pivots to “NewBird AI.” Seed valuations hit $175M — 3x YoY, above 2021 peak. And AI labs are allegedly planting stories on each other. This week on More or Less: SpaceX’s $19B revenue / $5B losses, the AI bubble, Anthropic $800B rumors, and why fund math is breaking
Chapters:
0:00 — Waymo vs. Uber: the autonomous tipping point
8:29 — Allbirds: $4B → $40M → “NewBird AI”
12:56 — Boom Supersonic and the data center pivot
15:17 — SpaceX IPO: bulls vs. bears
16:14 — The tax problem no one is pricing in
20:16 — Can mega-cap still 50x?26:47 — SpaceX breakdown: Starlink vs. launch
28:20 — Anthropic $800B rumors
30:08 — OpenAI vs. Anthropic: leaks and competition
31:08 — The model switching problem (no real moat)
33:36 — AI behavior shift: “ask the agent”
38:17 — AI labs running oppo research
40:05 — Seed valuations surpass 2021 peak42:00 — Fund math is broken
We’re also on ↓X: https://twitter.com/moreorlesspodInstagram: https://instagram.com/moreorlessYouTube: https://youtu.be/FQ5TEs_3Dq8Connect with us here:1) Sam Lessin: https://x.com/lessin2) Dave Morin: https://x.com/davemorin3) Jessica Lessin: https://x.com/Jessicalessin4) Brit Morin: https://x.com/brit
Fler avsnitt av More or Less
Visa alla avsnitt av More or LessMore or Less med Dave Morin, Jessica Lessin, Brit Morin, and Sam Lessin finns tillgänglig på flera plattformar. Informationen på denna sida kommer från offentliga podd-flöden.
