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One Decision

Will China Invade Taiwan in 2026? Expert's New Insight Reveals "Perfect Storm"

41 min19 februari 2026

Is 2026 China's window to “reunite” Taiwan? With Trump’s muted position on Taiwan and focus on the Western Hemisphere, China experts see a "perfect storm" of opportunity. Yun Sun, Ph.D., Director of the China Program at the Stimson Center, explains why Beijing believes this may be a now-or-never moment. Dr. Sun unpacks her arguments and warnings from her recent Foreign Affairs essay.

In this episode:

  • The People's Liberation Army’s military readiness 

  • If the United States won’t intervene, would Japan or South Korea? 

  • Decoding the signals from the purge of PLA generals

  • Xi Jinping's legacy ambitions

  • Warning signs to watch in 2026

Show Notes: 

Hosted by Sir Richard Dearlove (former MI6 Chief) and guest co-host Rosanna Lockwood (international journalist).

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