Could Tariff Inflationary Impact Pause Fed Rate Cutting Cycle?

Philip Straehl thinks tariff impacts are still filtering through and will hit in the next few months. He considers them a “transitory element” but thinks an inflation surprise could cause a market downturn because it would delay the Fed rate cutting cycle. He talks about the impact of a 25 basis point rate cut this week on the economy, and the low probability of a 50 point cut.

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