Door Opens to September Rate Cut, Incoming Data Can Hinder Cutting Cycle

Charles Schwab's Cooper Howard joins public consensus that Jerome Powell's Jackson Hole speech "opened the door" to a September rate cut. The main question moving forward is how the FOMC will tackle its dual mandate. With the Fed's focus inching toward labor, Cooper believes the U.S. will see 50bps worth of interest rate cuts for the remainder of 2025. That said, with economic uncertainty persisting, he argues that can change quickly depending on how upcoming inflation and labor prints come in.

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