Fed Chair Powell's Jackson Hole Speech: A Balancing Act on Labor and Inflation

Fed Chair Powell's Jackson Hole speech looms large for markets, with investors keenly awaiting his take on the economic outlook and the framework review. Brian Jacobsen expects Powell to strike a balanced tone, acknowledging labor market "fractures" while maintaining a hawkish bias on inflation. Jacobsen sees a 75% chance of a September rate cut, with the potential for two more cuts this year, but cautions that Powell may not commit to a specific path, citing data dependency and the Fed's dual mandate.

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