Fed Decision Looms: 50 vs 25 Basis Points Debate Heats Up

With the Fed's next meeting just around the corner, Jeffrey Cleveland and Yelena Shulyatyeva share their thoughts on what to expect. Jeffrey believes the case is strong for a 50-basis-point cut, citing slower job growth, weak labor market indicators, and moderating inflation. However, Yelena thinks a 25-basis-point cut is more likely, citing in-line economic data and concerns about surprising the market. Both agree that the labor picture has weakened, with almost a million jobs fewer than this time last year, and that a further slowdown in GDP growth and a rise in unemployment remain real risks.

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