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Schwab Network

ISM Services "Stagflation" Signals, Complicates Interest Rate Path

8 min3 oktober 2025

The delay of non-farm payrolls means that ISM services took higher priority on Friday. The numbers weren't promising. Kevin Green highlights contractions in the report and how they serve as early indicators to stagflation pressure. Additionally, it makes the Fed's job harder when it comes to interest rates as the economic picture gets foggier. He also looks into the international landscape through Eurozone PMI, which shows more promising signs outside of France.


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