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Schwab Network

Labor Market Bifurcation: >50 Employees vs <50 Employees

7 min2 oktober 2025

Jordan Shapiro and Kate Duchene take on the labor market. Kate discusses the “stagnancy” and “cautious behavior” in hiring, arguing we’re in a “wait and see” pattern. She also looks at the pattern of companies outsourcing labor to contractors or freelance. Jordan examines the latest ADP report, highlighting the difference between businesses with less than 50 employees and more than 50. Small firms are taking the brunt of uncertainty right now, he thinks, which is an issue because they are the ones driving the economy.


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