Labor Market is Still ‘Fundamentally Tight’ But Fed Will Start Cutting to 3%

“The data’s just not strong,” Steven Ricchiuto says of the August jobs report, meaning the Fed has “cleared the last hurdle” before a rate cut. Now the question is how fast they cut, Steven says, and thinks they’ll move to 3%. Overall, though, Steven still sees “good income growth” for workers. He thinks the labor market is still “fundamentally tight” but we aren’t generating the “employment gains” the Fed wants. He adds that he tends to look at the composite report rather than the breakdown.

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