Rate Cut or Rate Hike? Tariffs, Jobs & Inflation Leave Fed's Path Uncertain

Peter Tchir and John Lekas both share concern on the direction of the job market, but they differ on what it means for interest rates. Peter estimates up to three rate cuts before the end of 2025 starting in September. He sees tariffs and inflationary impacts forcing the Fed's hand. John doesn't see as deep of a rate cutting cycle and calls tariffs a "non-event." He believes the bigger story lies in dollar devaluation.

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