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Uncertainty Around Tariff Impacts Slowing Economic Growth

8 min12 juni 2025

Ben Ayers reacts to the May PPI coming in cooler than expected, arguing that the huge run in imports in 1Q before tariffs were in place is about to run out. However, companies seem to be bearing the brunt of tariff costs, so he thinks that we could see a smaller bump in prices this summer than otherwise. Higher prices will slow growth, and uncertainty about prices is also hampering growth, Ben says, but doesn’t expect the U.S. to hit recession.


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