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Schwab Network

Why the Consumer is a Critical Indicator to Watch for Any Economic Downturn

7 min12 februari 2026

Cameron Dawson says there are 2 key indicators to watch right now: market leadership and intermarket analysis, including high-yield spreads. She is closely watching the ratio between consumer discretionary and consumer staples stocks as she points out that consumer spending accounts for 2/3 of U.S. GDP. Later, Cameron discusses the SaaS selling, or as she calls it "software as a soreness," as a crowded trade with companies that held lighter assets.


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