TFIE026 CT011: Autonomous cars won't lead to the disappearance of the private car

In 2017, Stanford economist Tony Seba and tech investor James Arbib released a co-authored study which made the following claims: “Private car ownership will drop 80% by 2030 in the US" and "The number of passenger vehicles on American roads will go from 247 million in 2020 to 44 million in 2030." Those are compelling numbers, but I’m not buying them. I think the underlying model of human behavior and transportation is too simplistic. This is a podcast version of the article of the same name in the TFIE Medium publication.