#380 Peter Schiff: End Game Coming, Bubble Popping, $2 Trillion Interest by Next Year

Peter Schiff warns the bubble is popping as crypto leads the decline, while the bond market faces another breakdown with the 10-year potentially breaking above 5%. He emphasizes inflation is a choice—all Fed chairs chose it, and Warsh will too despite tough talk, because the alternative is politically unacceptable. He reveals the May deficit surged 30% while interest expense jumped 44%, with annual interest payments now hitting $1.6 trillion and will be $2 trillion by next year. Schiff identifies Japan as a looming harbinger with 250% debt-to-GDP, yields climbing above 4%, and the yen collapsing below 160 with potential for another 30-50% decline. His end game thesis: the US dollar loses reserve currency status, US assets get repriced down, and he's positioning to "have all the chips" at the finish line. Gold's pullback from $5,600 to $4,200 is a "buy the rumor, sell the fact" move, while silver at $65 is headed to $200 and Bitcoin at $64,000 should be sold. GDP growth is an illusion created by faulty deflators that understate inflation; the economy hasn't really expanded, just become more expensive, and stagflationary depression is locked in.

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Timestamps:

0:00 Intro and welcome Peter Schiff

00:50 Air coming out of bubble

1:16 Markets too complacent on inflation risks

1:45 Warsh has a problem - Hike or no hike, both bad

3:36 Inflation is a choice - All Fed chairs chose it

5:11 Warsh will choose inflation despite tough talk

5:24 Bond market breakdown coming - 10-year to 5%, 30-year to 5.5-6%

7:42 May deficit up 30%, interest expense up 44%

8:13 Interest payments $1.6 trillion/year, will be $2 trillion next year

9:39 Government spending up 50% since COVID, taxes reduced

10:57 Inflation is hidden tax - Government prefers it

11:52 Iran war costs through inflation, not direct taxation

13:49 Wealth tax - Slippery slope, will hit middle class eventually

19:56 Japan crisis - Debt to GDP 250%, yen collapsing below 160

20:29 Japanese bond yields at 4% on 30-year, rising fast

21:45 Japan could sell $1 trillion in US treasuries

24:41 Japan harbinger for US crisis

24:54 Treasury Secretary Paulson says crisis inevitable

27:18 Gold warning sign - Pullback to $4,200 from $5,600 normal

29:24 Silver at $65, headed to $200

32:39 Stock market at highs but economy worse than Biden

36:56 GDP illusion - Deflator too low, just prices not growth

39:48 End game - Dollar won't be reserve currency

40:40 Playing for end game, wants all chips at finish

43:31 Contrarian predictions - Higher rates, higher oil, higher gold

44:30 Japan crisis first domino, then dollar next

45:01 Summary - Stagflation and end game thesis