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The Peel with Turner Novak

Rethinking Asset Allocation, The Past Present and Future of Venture Capital | Dan Feder, University of Michigan

1 tim 52 min18 september 2025

Dan Feder is a Senior Managing Director of Investments at the University of Michigan’s $18 billion endowment.


Our two hour conversation talks through the past, present, and future of all things venture capital, and investing more broadly.


Dan lays out the case for why most institutional investors should change how they approach asset allocation, why risk and uncertainty are not the same, the importance of relevance and independent thinking, advice for fund managers raising from institutional LP’s, the trend of VC’s rolling up services businesses, and what he learned from beating Lance Armstrong in a race.


Thanks to Chris Douvos @ Ahoy Capital and Adam Kurkiewicz at WashU for their brainstorming topics for Dan!


Special thanks to Ramp for supporting this episode. It's the corporate card and expense management platform used by over 40,000 companies, like Shopify, CBRE and Stripe. Time is money. Save both with Ramp. Get $250 for signing-up here: https://ramp.com/ThePeel


Try Hanover Park - the modern, AI-native fund admin https://www.hanoverpark.com/Turner



Timestamps:

(5:50) Beating Lance Armstrong in a race

(8:05) “The will to win is nothing without the will to prepare”

(10:39) Why investors need to re-think asset allocation

(22:31) Difference between risk and uncertainty

(29:26) How endowments work

(33:12) Endowment portfolio construction

(40:47) From law, to industrial buyouts, to venture

(49:13) Narrowing scope to increase returns

(54:54) Why career planning as an LP is hard

(58:24) VC in the 00’s

(1:08:18) Venture vs Adventure Capital

(1:15:16) VC’s rolling up legacy industries

(1:20:17) Importance of relevance

(1:26:25) Traits of the top investors

(1:28:25) Importance of trust in institutional LP fundraising

(1:32:54) Venture is the most competitive ass class

(1:35:37) Why venture firms do not persist over time

(1:38:27) How venture will change going forward

(1:43:37) The Newman Cycle



Referenced

A Sense of Where You Are by John McPhee: https://www.amazon.com/Sense-Where-You-Are-Princeton/dp/0374526893

Risk Uncertainty and Profit by Frank Knight: https://www.amazon.com/Risk-Uncertainty-Profit-Frank-Knight/dp/1614276390


Follow Dan

Twitter: https://x.com/federdan

LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/danfeder


Follow Turner

Twitter: https://twitter.com/TurnerNovak

LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/turnernovak


Subscribe to my newsletter to get every episode + the transcript in your inbox every week: https://www.thespl.it/

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