Trade War Ends Before It Begins – Ep. 354
36 min•22 maj 2018
Solid Gains Today in the Major Stock Market Averages
We had solid gains today in the major stock market averages; the DJIA putting in the largest percentage gain, just over 1.2% or 298 points. I think at the highs, the Dow was up 370 and change, so a strong day, S&P, NASDAQ also up not quite as much calculated as percentages. The Russell 2000 was not up as much as the other averages but it is at a record high again today. I think it's the Russell 2000 that ultimately could make the biggest percentage drop once stock market traders start to figure out what's actually going to happen.
A Lot of Saber Rattling and Not a Lot of Fencing
But in the meantime, today, they were celebrating the cease fire in the trade war. Although, I don't think I should call it a cease fire because nobody actually fired a shot. It has been more of a war of words than a real conventional battle, I mean there was basically a lot of saber rattling and not a lot of fencing. But I think what happened today is that we callee a truce. Both sides sheathed their sabers and agreed that there is not going to be a war.
The Markets Have Not Adequately Priced in the Cost of a Trade War
And I think the markets were relieved, and so we got a relief rally based on that good news. Although I don't think the markets sufficiently priced in the cost of a hot trade war. I know Donald Trump said, "Oh, trade wars are easy to win." Believe me, if they were easy to win, we would have waged one. They're not easy to win. I don't think the markets really discounted how bad it would have been had the cold war turned hot.
Peace Dividend
Nonetheless, the fact that it wasn't going to happen - I think most people would agree that a trade war would be bad, and if now there is going to be trade peace, well there is a peace dividend and so we got that today.
Our Sponsors:
* Check out Fast Growing Trees and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.fast-growing-trees.com
* Check out GhostBed: https://ghostbed.com/PETER
* Check out Quince: https://quince.com/GOLD
* Check out TruDiagnostic and use my code GOLD20 for a great deal: https://www.trudiagnostic.com
Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy
We had solid gains today in the major stock market averages; the DJIA putting in the largest percentage gain, just over 1.2% or 298 points. I think at the highs, the Dow was up 370 and change, so a strong day, S&P, NASDAQ also up not quite as much calculated as percentages. The Russell 2000 was not up as much as the other averages but it is at a record high again today. I think it's the Russell 2000 that ultimately could make the biggest percentage drop once stock market traders start to figure out what's actually going to happen.
A Lot of Saber Rattling and Not a Lot of Fencing
But in the meantime, today, they were celebrating the cease fire in the trade war. Although, I don't think I should call it a cease fire because nobody actually fired a shot. It has been more of a war of words than a real conventional battle, I mean there was basically a lot of saber rattling and not a lot of fencing. But I think what happened today is that we callee a truce. Both sides sheathed their sabers and agreed that there is not going to be a war.
The Markets Have Not Adequately Priced in the Cost of a Trade War
And I think the markets were relieved, and so we got a relief rally based on that good news. Although I don't think the markets sufficiently priced in the cost of a hot trade war. I know Donald Trump said, "Oh, trade wars are easy to win." Believe me, if they were easy to win, we would have waged one. They're not easy to win. I don't think the markets really discounted how bad it would have been had the cold war turned hot.
Peace Dividend
Nonetheless, the fact that it wasn't going to happen - I think most people would agree that a trade war would be bad, and if now there is going to be trade peace, well there is a peace dividend and so we got that today.
Our Sponsors:
* Check out Fast Growing Trees and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.fast-growing-trees.com
* Check out GhostBed: https://ghostbed.com/PETER
* Check out Quince: https://quince.com/GOLD
* Check out TruDiagnostic and use my code GOLD20 for a great deal: https://www.trudiagnostic.com
Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy
Fler avsnitt av The Peter Schiff Show Podcast
Visa alla avsnitt av The Peter Schiff Show PodcastThe Peter Schiff Show Podcast med Peter Schiff finns tillgänglig på flera plattformar. Informationen på denna sida kommer från offentliga podd-flöden.