Will April Showers Rain on the Wall Street Excuse Parade? – Ep 68

* April Fool's Day and all the fools are buying U.S. stocks
* Atlanta Fed GDP Now Estimate for Q1 GDP finally down to zero
* Despite the fact that the economy is worse than the 2008 crisis, Wall Street expects a Q2 boom
* Last Q2 was boosted by Obamacare spending and inventory build
* No data supports wishful thinking that Q2 will stage a comeback
* U.S. corporate profits fell despite Wall Street gains
* Q4 corporate profits dropped by 3%
* Final revision for Q4 GDP held at 2%, weaker than expectations
* First back to back decline in March University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment since October 2013
* Personal Income and Spending rose only .1%, missing expectations for 4th consecutive month
* Savings rate increased to 5.8%, contrary to Fed's objective to maintain spending bubble
* Savings increase is problematic for the Fed because it undermines the spending spree that masquerades as wealth
* The Fed will have to launch QE4 to encourage more spending
* The March Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index plunged by 17.4%- the sharpest 1-month decline since 2008
* Chicago PMI was below 50 in March - near 6 year lows
* March ADP numbers lowest in 14 months - biggest miss vs expected in 4 years
* March ISM Manufacturing Index dropped again to 51.5 - lowest level in 22 months - 5-month decline - first time since 2008
* Construction spending "unexpectedly fell"
* Zero might not be the floor for Q1 GDP
* Stock market weakening again - oil and gold up
* U.S. dollar no longer making new highs
* Everyone is going to come to the same conclusion at once triggering violent moves in the market
* Right now there are still people willing to buy the dollar, but eventually there will be no one to take the other side of those trades
* Countries with smaller balance sheets will start raising rates when dollar plunges and commodities rise
* Friday jobs number, the Fed's gauntlet, will start reflecting the rest of the bad economic news
* Rate hikes are so far into the future they are beyond QE4


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