SI355: Drawdowns Don’t Lie, But They May Mislead ft. Alan Dunne
Markets have recovered fast - maybe too fast. Alan and Niels unpack what sits beneath the surface: a bond market brushing off record deficits, volatility draining from asset prices, and trend followers caught between sharp reversals and shrinking conviction. They explore how sentiment, structure, and speed are shaping today’s trading environment, and what most investors still underestimate about liquidity, macro policy, and risk. With fresh research in hand, they ask whether drawdowns are misunderstood, if diversification has become an illusion, and why clarity often emerges only after the pain. We do recognize that we had some technical issues with this recording and appreciate you for sticking with us.
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Episode TimeStamps:
00:57 - What has caught our attention recently?
04:38 - Industry performance update
07:38 - Is trend thriving?
09:57 - Dunne's global macro overview
16:33 - A catastrophic year for the dollar
18:12 - Is this time different for trend following drawdowns?
27:26 - The value of long term track records
34:30 - Is trend following flawed?
37:48 - What are investors actually interested in?
44:32 - What is up for next week?
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