Ep 65: Co-Authors of AI-2027 Daniel Kokotajlo and Thomas Larsen On Their Detailed AI Predictions for the Coming Years

The recent AI 2027 report sparked widespread discussion with its stark warnings about the near-term risks of unaligned AI.

Authors @Daniel Kokotajlo (former OpenAI researcher now focused full-time on alignment through his nonprofit, @AI Futures, and one of TIME’s 100 most influential people in AI) and @Thomas Larsen joined the show to unpack their findings.

We talk through the key takeaways from the report, its policy implications, and what they believe it will take to build safer, more aligned models.

 

(0:00) Intro
(1:15) Overview of AI 2027
(2:32) AI Development Timeline
(4:10) Race and Slowdown Branches
(12:52) US vs China
(18:09) Potential AI Misalignment
(31:06) Getting Serious About the Threat of AI
(47:23) Predictions for AI Development by 2027
(48:33) Public and Government Reactions to AI Concerns
(49:27) Policy Recommendations for AI Safety
(52:22) Diverging Views on AI Alignment Timelines
(1:01:30) The Role of Public Awareness in AI Safety
(1:02:38) Reflections on Insider vs. Outsider Strategies
(1:10:53) Future Research and Scenario Planning
(1:14:01) Best and Worst Case Outcomes for AI
(1:17:02) Final Thoughts and Hopes for the Future

 

With your co-hosts: 

@jacobeffron 

- Partner at Redpoint, Former PM Flatiron Health 

@patrickachase 

- Partner at Redpoint, Former ML Engineer LinkedIn 

@ericabrescia 

- Former COO Github, Founder Bitnami (acq’d by VMWare) 

@jordan_segall 

- Partner at Redpoint

Jacob is an AI investor at Redpoint Ventures. He's led Redpoint's investments in companies like Abridge, Physical Intelligence & Legora. Follow Jacob on Twitter (@jacobeffron).

On Unsupervised Learning we probe the sharpest minds in AI in search for the truth about what's real today, what will be real in the future and what it all means for businesses and the world. If you're a builder, researcher or investor navigating the AI world, this podcast will help you deconstruct and understand the most important breakthroughs and see a clearer picture of reality. Subscribe to this show to stay up to date on our latest episodes.