All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg

(0:00) Bestie intros!

(0:58) Reacting to Trump targeting China and postponing all other reciprocal tariffs

(21:21) Measures for success of tariffs, debating the impact of letting China into the WTO

(46:14) Is the US being exploited on trade? Was free trade a mistake?

(1:02:01) Recession chances, How the Trump administration gathers information

(1:19:39) Future of the Democratic Party, Abundance agenda, DOGE

(1:51:00) The Besties recap the debate and Chamath recaps the Breakthrough Prize Ceremony

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Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://x.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

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Referenced in the show:

https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/114309144289505174

https://x.com/WhiteHouse/status/1910058352278708638

https://www.wsj.com/politics/policy/why-trump-blinked-on-tariffs-b588aea8

https://breakthroughprize.org

(0:00) The Besties welcome Ben Shapiro and Antonio Gracias

(1:54) Why Antonio is helping out and what it's like working with DOGE

(4:56) DOGE's latest findings: illegal immigration, social security, and more

(27:59) Was Biden's open border policy a Dem strategy to expand their voter base?

(39:55) Tariffs: Liberation Day chaos, reactions, strategy

(55:26) Impact, consequences, and risks for the Trump Administration

(1:13:50) How the US can thrive in a high-tariff world

(1:31:33) Future US political landscape if the tariff strategy fails

(1:42:27) Chamath recaps his best-performing asset of 2025 + wrap

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Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://x.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://x.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://x.com/AntonioGracias/status/1906877800511893670

https://polymarket.com/event/magnificent-7-shrinks-below-30-of-sp-500-in-2025?tid=1743434648860

https://x.com/Geiger_Capital/status/1907553323387072774

https://x.com/enriqueabeyta/status/1907796286763409439

https://x.com/Geiger_Capital/status/1907622848149037509

https://x.com/litcapital/status/1907813630227173534

https://www.wsj.com/tech/ai/asml-euv-machine-lithography-chips-967954d0

https://www.hoover.org/publications/goodfellows

https://www.ft.com/content/bcb1d331-5d8e-4cac-811e-eac7d9448486

(0:00) Friedberg and Jason are live from Austin!

(2:51) How building an audience has impacted the Besties

(11:15) Colin & Samir join the Besties!

(12:01) Evolution of short-form and long-form content

(22:18) Business models for creatives

(35:04) Advice to up and coming creators

(42:10) Chris Williamson joins the Besties!

(50:17) Making it seem effortless

(57:47) Monetizing content

(1:05:02) Scaling a one-man show

(1:19:15) Bryan Johnson joins the Besties!

(1:20:13) Spotify’s move to video

(1:21:21) Bryan’s Ketamine experience

(1:28:03) Creators and value props

(1:36:52) Issues with the US food industry

(1:43:10) Top tips for healthy living

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Intro Music Credit:

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Intro Video Credit:

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(0:00) The Besties welcome Gavin Baker back on the show!

(1:20) Nvidia balance sheet questions, CoreWeave IPO, M&A/IPO bounce back

(16:22) US vs China in AI: Manus, China building its own Nvidia, and more

(28:37) The Administration's endgame for tariffs

(53:05) Signalgate: context and fallout

(1:09:42) El Salvador deportations

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Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://x.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

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Referenced in the show:

https://www.reuters.com/technology/coreweave-planning-cut-us-ipo-size-price-below-range-source-says-2025-03-27

https://www.reuters.com/world/us/us-adds-dozens-entities-export-restriction-list-2025-03-25

https://modelcontextprotocol.io/introduction

https://www.theinformation.com/articles/openai-plots-charging-20-000-a-month-for-phd-level-agents?rc=pxkrxo

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A8wJc7vHcTs

https://x.com/JohnArnoldFndtn/status/1905296181208416744

https://x.com/chamath/status/1904547884877701610

https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2025/03/trump-administration-accidentally-texted-me-its-war-plans/682151

https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/03/invocation-of-the-alien-enemies-act-regarding-the-invasion-of-the-united-states-by-tren-de-aragua

https://www.statista.com/statistics/696152/homicide-rate-in-el-salvador

https://x.com/Sec_Noem/status/1905034256826408982

(0:00) Welcoming Cyan Banister and David Sacks!

(3:23) Behind the scenes of the Besties in DC: White House, cabinet interviews, and more

(33:00) How M&A will be unleashed, Google buys Wiz for $32B, Tim Walz on Tesla

(49:09) Deep dive on Google/Wiz: breakup fee, impact on VC, ROIC, cloud advantage

(1:00:28) Treasury vs Fed tension, Bond markets, consumers, deregulation

(1:12:57) Space rescue, SpaceX vs China, lunar landing

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Intro Music Credit:

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Intro Video Credit:

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Referenced in the show:

Bessent interview: https://youtu.be/lSma9suyp24

Lutnick interview: https://youtu.be/182ckTL2KBA

https://www.cnbc.com/2025/03/18/google-to-acquire-cloud-security-startup-wiz-for-32-billion.html

https://x.com/Tim_Walz/status/1902197581586833643

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/politics-news/democratic-party-hits-new-polling-lowvoters-want-fight-trump-harder-rcna196161

https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1519735033950470144

https://www.ft.com/content/e6f516e8-2262-44d2-a030-7071b62b0be7

https://x.com/thesamparr/status/1902385138308104685

https://www.wsj.com/economy/central-banking/interest-rates-decision-federal-reserve-ed172223

https://www.cnbc.com/quotes/US10Y

https://www.nytimes.com/2025/03/10/technology/eric-schmidt-relativity-space.html

https://arstechnica.com/space/2024/11/chinas-long-term-lunar-plans-now-depend-on-developing-its-own-starship

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/elections/steve-kornacki-white-men-white-women-gap-gender-gap-rcna196791

(0:00) Chamath and Friedberg welcome Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick!

(1:10) Howard describes his 30+ year relationship with President Trump and his road from business to politics

(14:44) Running Trump's transition team, DOGE origin story, what it's like working for Trump

(38:01) Balancing the budget and fixing GDP

(52:21) Tariff history and strategy, global trade

(1:10:34) Trump Cards, building better government software, AI thoughts

(1:22:49) Sovereign Wealth Fund strategy

(1:37:16) How his family reacted to his new role

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Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://x.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://x.com/TheZachEffect

(0:00) Chamath and Friedberg describe their adventures in DC and welcome Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent!

(2:12) Scott's background, what drew him to equities, the role of macro investors

(7:22) The legendary trade that broke the Bank of England in 1992, and how it relates to Main Street vs Wall Street today

(21:30) Scott explains the Trump Administration's economic strategy

(32:45) How this administration plans to de-regulate the economy, Fed relationship, re-financing debt

(42:06) DOGE, DC grifts, shakeup at the IRS

(50:51) Re-engineering social security through the US SWF, how energy factors in

(1:00:02) Surprises, fixing affordability, thoughts on President Trump

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Intro Music Credit:

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Intro Video Credit:

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(0:00) The Besties intro Andrew Schulz!

(3:29) Friedberg hits a quick Science Corner on the future of fertility

(9:35) Reacting to Gavin Newsom's new podcast: genius or pandering?

(19:36) Tariff experiment so far: risks, communication issues, and more

(30:44) Why the American Dream is broken and how to fix it: cracking the housing market, social security reform

(55:45) Aligning upside via increased stock market participation

(1:11:23) How Andrew blew up in comedy, going direct via YouTube, building a cancel-proof following

(1:22:25) State of America, conspiracy obsession, thoughts on Trump and DOGE

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Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://x.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://x.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://x.com/chamath/status/1895948351516131515

https://x.com/ChineseEmbinUS/status/1897132043362034153

https://electrek.co/2025/02/07/renewables-90-percent-new-us-capacity-2024-ferc

https://www.wsj.com/opinion/bidens-mortgage-relief-fuels-higher-housing-prices-policy-loans-risk-cb0a1974

(0:00) The Besties welcome Joe Lonsdale!

(3:51) Jason recaps an eventful week in Washington

(8:29) Trump's tariffs: endgame, impact, chaos, master plan

(26:25) DOGE, IRA grifting, do campaign contributions need to be capped?

(53:42) CoreWeave IPO

(1:03:36) Trump 2.0 favoring Main Street over Wall Street, bond market breakdown, re-balancing the economy

(1:14:19) State of Ukraine/Russia, the Western alliance, and how techno-optimism plays into the future of defense pacts

(1:24:31) GPT-4.5, Grok 3 on X, and the Golden Age of language models

(1:33:47) All-In for F1 Miami!

(1:37:34) David Sacks joins Jason to break down the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve and Digital Asset Stockpile

(1:48:30) Sacks addresses clearing all of his crypto-related positions prior to Inauguration Day

(1:57:23) Importance of disclosures and updates on a market structure bill

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Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://x.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://x.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/114093526901586124

https://x.com/JTLonsdale/status/1896245689488920748

https://x.com/Jason/status/1896235076456739138

https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/114093946326587357

https://www.reuters.com/technology/tsmc-ceo-meet-with-trump-tout-investment-plans-2025-03-03

https://x.com/AutismCapital/status/1896655215899893968

https://x.com/USATODAY/status/1897248477081460849

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/supreme-court/supreme-court-rejects-trump-administrations-bid-avoid-paying-usaid-con-rcna194230

https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/114116432894994278

https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/114112015891353323

https://www.reuters.com/business/autos-transportation/trump-auto-tariff-rate-will-be-around-25-2025-02-18

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/USGOVT

https://x.com/DOGE/status/1897464303428755692

https://electrek.co/2025/02/07/renewables-90-percent-new-us-capacity-2024-ferc

https://www.thefp.com/p/a-20-billion-slush-fund-nonprofits

https://x.com/bariweiss/status/1896992192197013888

https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/114117008305421663

https://x.com/chamath/status/1895948351516131515

https://x.com/chamath/status/1895948351516131515

https://x.com/unusual_whales/status/1897737394964906437

https://x.com/great_martis/status/1897194563800064153

https://x.com/great_martis/status/1897581115952804248

https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1769628/000119312525044231/d899798ds1.htm

https://x.com/chamath/status/1896052861500604884

https://www.newsweek.com/map-global-thorium-reserves-country-2039893

https://apnews.com/article/donald-trump-bitcoin-cryptocurrency-stockpile-6f1314f5e99bbf47cc3ee6fc6178588d

https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/01/strengthening-american-leadership-in-digital-financial-technology

https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/03/establishment-of-the-strategic-bitcoin-reserveand-united-states-digital-asset-stockpile

https://x.com/dmartkc/status/1896260059640025113

https://x.com/ryangrim/status/1896306748052623852

https://x.com/_Andre_Ellis/status/1896935969041104981

https://x.com/KyleSamani/status/1897130321021411750

https://x.com/pbartstephens/status/1897008176467468349

https://x.com/HHorsley/status/1897461451675328879

(0:00) Bestie intros

(1:41) Epstein files first release underwhelms

(4:40) Friedberg recaps his experience on Celebrity Jeopardy!

(14:22) State of autonomous robots

(21:06) Comparing annual reports from Stripe and Adyen; Stripe's network effects, stablecoin infra, and the pace of AI company building

(29:12) State of the market: stocks, tariffs, spending bill, the "great reset"

(49:07) Trump's Gold Card

(56:19) Sophisticated investor test, changing accreditation laws

(1:06:57) USPS, Bezos refocuses the WaPo's opinion page

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Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://x.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://x.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://x.com/bennyjohnson/status/1895195194947183047

https://x.com/adcock_brett/status/1895175400160133543

https://x.com/markjeffrey/status/1892735775550406828

https://x.com/pitdesi/status/1895117427480109238

https://x.com/jmover/status/1895129169882661100

https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/tether

https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/usd-coin

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/UNRATE

https://www.cnbc.com/2025/02/12/cpi-january-2025.html

https://x.com/StealthQE4/status/1894227465616171361

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7-ttACozP8s

https://www.cnbc.com/quotes/US10Y

https://x.com/chamath/status/1888371069322686895

https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-gold-cards-will-trump-sell-in-2025/will-trump-sell-2pt5k-5k-gold-cards-in-2025?tid=1740688723350

https://x.com/Jason/status/1706067572226244789

https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2025/02/20/trump-usps-takeover-dejoy/

https://x.com/Jason/status/1894412028279693546

https://x.com/JeffBezos/status/1894757287052362088

(0:00) The Besties welcome John and Patrick Collison!

(4:28) Stripe's business evolution: $1T in volume/year, stablecoins, challenging the Visa/Mastercard duopoly, publishing economic indicators

(20:31) Jamie Dimon's leaked rant on remote work and bureaucracy

(34:22) DOGE for Defense: Trump ordered the Pentagon to look at cutting the defense budget by 8%/year over the next five years

(43:51) Crypto Corner: Milei's Memecoin embarrassment

(1:00:18) John and Patrick break down the Arc Institute and its new Evo 2 AI model

(1:18:04) Grok 3 takes the LLM lead, lessons learned from Elon's Colossus scale up

(1:30:22) Science Corner: Asteroid update

(1:35:42) Why Stripe hasn't gone public yet, despite great metrics

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Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://x.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://x.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://www.cnbc.com/2024/10/23/stripes-1point1-billion-deal-for-bridge-marks-much-needed-win-for-vc.html

https://x.com/Zigmanfreud/status/1890202488596492620

https://www.coworker.org/petitions/professional-dignity

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-01-03/shopify-ceo-tobi-lutke-tells-employees-to-just-say-no-to-meetings

https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2025/02/19/trump-pentagon-budget-cuts

https://www.amazon.com/Boyd-Fighter-Pilot-Who-Changed/dp/0316796883

https://www.cnn.com/2025/02/16/americas/argentina-milei-libra-cryptocurrency-impeachment-calls-intl-latam/index.html

https://www.cnn.com/2025/02/18/americas/argentina-milei-defends-libra-crypto-tweet-intl-latam/index.html

https://arcinstitute.org

https://blogs.nvidia.com/blog/evo-2-biomolecular-ai

https://artificialanalysis.ai/models/grok-3

https://x.com/GavinSBaker/status/1891721991444447343

https://www.amazon.com/Henry-J-Kaiser-Builder-American/dp/0292742266

https://x.com/AsteroidWatch/status/1892338055354159256

https://x.com/AsteroidWatch/status/1892631907646447746

(0:00) The Besties intro Naval Ravikant!

(9:07) Naval reflects on his thoughtful tweets and reputation

(14:17) Unique views on parenting

(23:20) Sacks joins to talk AI: JD Vance's speech in Paris, Techno-Optimists vs Doomers

(1:11:06) Tariffs and the US economic experiment

(1:21:15) Thomson Reuters wins first major AI copyright decision on behalf of rights holders

(1:35:35) Chamath's dinner with Bryan Johnson, sleep hacks

(1:45:09) Tulsi Gabbard, RFK Jr. confirmed

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Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://x.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://x.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://x.com/naval/status/1002103360646823936

https://x.com/CollinRugg/status/1889349078657716680

https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/01/removing-barriers-to-american-leadership-in-artificial-intelligence

https://www.cnn.com/2021/06/09/politics/kamala-harris-foreign-trip/index.html

https://www.cnbc.com/2025/02/11/anduril-to-take-over-microsofts-22-billion-us-army-headset-program.html

https://x.com/JDVance/status/1889640434793910659

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QCNYhuISzxg

https://www.wired.com/story/thomson-reuters-ai-copyright-lawsuit

https://admin.bakerlaw.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/ECF-1-Complaint.pdf

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7xTGNNLPyMI

https://polymarket.com/event/which-trump-picks-will-be-confirmed?tid=1739471077488

(0:00) The Besties intro Antonio Gracias!

(3:11) DOGE takes on USAID

(31:44) Sacks breaks in to talk USAID

(34:00) Sacks explains what he's working on: Crypto/AI Frameworks

(46:41) The Democratic Party's shrinking base

(52:33) US Sovereign Wealth Fund + Breaking DOGE/Tax News

(1:09:07) Google to spend $75B on AI buildout in 2025, future of work in the age of AI

(1:23:21) Science Corner: GLP-1 macro study

Follow Antonio:

https://x.com/AntonioGracias

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Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://x.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://x.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Agency_for_International_Development

https://www.wsj.com/opinion/usaid-donald-trump-elon-musk-marco-rubio-state-department-foreign-aid-8d2a1920

https://www.usa.gov/agencies/u-s-agency-for-international-development

https://www.usaspending.gov/agency/agency-for-international-development?fy=2024

https://www.whitehouse.gov/fact-sheets/2025/02/at-usaid-waste-and-abuse-runs-deep

https://www.wsj.com/finance/banks-sell-5-5-billion-of-x-loans-after-investor-interest-surges-4b84f89c

https://www.usaspending.gov

https://www.foxnews.com/media/ex-politico-reporters-reveal-editors-quashed-slow-walked-negative-biden-stories-with-no-explanation

https://www.usaspending.gov/recipient/fa0cefae-7cfb-881d-29c3-1bd39cc6a49e-C/2024

https://www.bbc.co.uk/mediaaction/about/funding

https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/01/reevaluating-and-realigning-united-states-foreign-aid

https://x.com/susancrabtree/status/1884034727046226317

https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1886627783138316442

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/national-security/usaid-security-leaders-removed-refusing-elon-musks-doge-employees-accercna190357

https://x.com/Jason/status/1885082871074886110

https://x.com/anc_aesthetics/status/1886176995433763188

https://x.com/wikileaks/status/1887501752213409919

https://x.com/pm_viktororban/status/1887224829352280505

https://x.com/daily_romania/status/1887883017550430435

https://x.com/kanekoathegreat/status/1887261736618893636

https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/01/strengthening-american-leadership-in-digital-financial-technology

https://x.com/davidsacks47/status/1886878016183394403

https://www.banking.senate.gov/newsroom/majority/scott-hagerty-lummis-gillibrand-introduce-legislation-to-establish-a-stablecoin-regulatory-framework

https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2025/02/02/rahm-emanuel-democrats-voters-kitchen-table

https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/02/a-plan-for-establishing-a-united-states-sovereign-wealth-fund

https://www.americanprogress.org/article/scott-bessents-3-percent-deficit-target-would-require-massive-cuts-to-anti-poverty-programs-and-middle-class-tax-increases

https://abcnews.go.com/US/judge-weigh-block-doge-accessing-treasury-department-records/story?id=118498817

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_DOGE_Service

https://x.com/libsoftiktok/status/1887585824218509380

https://fedscoop.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/5/2025/02/show_temp.pdf

https://www.cnbc.com/2025/02/05/alphabet-shares-fall-7percent-on-revenue-miss-heightened-ai-investments.html

https://abc.xyz/assets/a3/91/6d1950c148fa84c7d699abe05284/2024q4-alphabet-earnings-release.pdf

https://x.com/SawyerMerritt/status/1886899315735507255

https://www.nature.com/articles/s41591-024-03412-w

(0:00) The Besties intro Travis Kalanick!

(2:11) Travis breaks down the future of food and the state of CloudKitchens

(13:34) Sacks breaks in!

(15:38) DeepSeek panic: What's real, training innovation, China, impact on markets and the AI industry

(50:14) US vs China in AI, the Singapore backdoor

(1:01:51) OpenAI reportedly in talks to raise ~$40B with Masa as the lead investor

(1:10:37) DOGE's first 10 days

(1:25:13) Future of Self Driving: Uber, Waymo, Tesla

(1:38:04) Fed holds rates steady, how DOGE can impact rate cuts

(1:44:17) Fatal DC plane crash

Follow Travis:

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Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://x.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://x.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://github.com/deepseek-ai/DeepSeek-R1/blob/main/DeepSeek_R1.pdf

https://www.tomshardware.com/tech-industry/artificial-intelligence/chinese-company-trained-gpt-4-rival-with-just-2-000-gpus-01-ai-spent-usd3m-compared-to-openais-usd80m-to-usd100m

https://www.cnbc.com/2025/01/27/nvidia-sheds-almost-600-billion-in-market-cap-biggest-drop-ever.html

https://x.com/shrihacker/status/1884414667503853749

https://x.com/balajis/status/1884975064283812270

https://www.fool.com/earnings/call-transcripts/2025/01/29/meta-platforms-meta-q4-2024

earnings-call-transcri

https://x.com/mrexits/status/1885017400308806121

https://www.wsj.com/livecoverage/stock-market-today-dow-sp500-nasdaq-live-01-28-2025/card/deepseek-s-ai-learned-from-chatgpt-trump-s-ai-czar-says-LoCYvz2Lm0riS0AuEoB5

https://www.wsj.com/tech/ai/why-distillation-has-become-the-scariest-wordfor-ai-companies-aa146ae3

https://techcrunch.com/2024/12/27/why-deepseeks-new-ai-model-thinks-its-chatgpt

https://x.com/rauchg/status/1875627666113740892

https://www.ft.com/content/a0dfedd1-5255-4fa9-8ccc-1fe01de87ea6

https://x.com/satyanadella/status/1883753899255046301

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jevons_paradox

https://x.com/pitdesi/status/1883192498274873513

https://x.com/rihardjarc/status/1884263865703358726

https://x.com/austen/status/1884444298130674000

https://www.cnbc.com/2025/01/30/openai-in-talks-to-raise-up-to-40-billion-at-340-billion-valuation.html

https://x.com/america/status/1884372526144598056

https://x.com/DOGE/status/1884396041786524032

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FYFSD

https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/01/establishing-and-implementing-the-presidents-department-of-government-efficiency

https://x.com/Jason/status/1884671945800573018

https://abcnews.go.com/538/trump-starts-term-weak-approval-rating/story?id=118146633

https://www.cnbc.com/2025/01/15/cpi-inflation-december-2024-.html

https://x.com/chamath/status/1885068981905875241

(0:00) Ray Dalio joins Friedberg!

(0:50) The current US fiscal situation

(6:23) Breaking down "The Big Debt Cycle," a potential US debt spiral, and the impact on real wealth

(24:54) USD vs other currencies and assets, best hedges against the dollar

(33:20) Portfolio construction, how China increases risk for US AI companies, why this market reminds Ray of 1998-1999

(41:45) How the US can avoid a debt crisis

(53:29) DOGE, Trump, and AI's greatest risk

(1:05:31) Chances of conflict between the US and China

Follow the Besties:

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Follow Ray Dalio:

https://x.com/RayDalio

Read Part 1 of "How Countries Go Broke":

https://x.com/RayDalio/status/1878840018770210979

Pre-order "How Countries Go Broke":

https://www.amazon.com/Principles-Investment-Economic-Ray-Dalio/dp/1501124064

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Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://x.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://x.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/government-debt-to-gdp

https://www.crfb.org/press-releases/treasury-confirms-calendar-year-2024-deficit-tops-20-trillion

https://www.cbo.gov/publication/61172

https://www.institutionalinvestor.com/article/2bstne1l09npgdk1s5yww/corner-office/ray-dalio-makes-his-exit-from-bridgewater

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/M2SL

https://www.jpmorgan.com/insights/outlook/economic-outlook/fed-meeting-september-2024

https://www.forbes.com/sites/robertfarrington/2024/11/08/fed-cut-interest-rates-so-why-do-mortgage-rates-keep-climbing

https://www.chathamfinancial.com/insights/fomc-recap-december-2024

https://www.cnbc.com/2025/01/14/a-global-bond-sell-off-is-deepening-as-hopes-for-multiple-fed-rate-cuts-fizzle.html

(0:00) The Besties intro Thomas Laffont!

(6:22) Behind the scenes: Inauguration Weekend recap!

(15:58) Biggest takeaways from DC during the Inauguration

(31:38) Trump Executive Action breakdown

(33:39) TikTok's grace period extended, valuing the business, US new equity strategy?

(57:01) Jan 6th pardons, birthright citizenship

(1:09:49) Stargate: $500B AI investment, is Masa the GOAT?, bull case for OpenAI

(1:23:41) How electricity production capacity plays into the global AI race

(1:36:20) Netflix's stock rise correlates with some alarming societal trends

(1:47:40) BREAKING: AI/Crypto Czar David Sacks joins to discuss the President's three new EOs

Follow the besties:

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Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://x.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://x.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://x.com/dontcallmeraylo/status/1882444994264629402

https://x.com/craigkellyXXX/status/1882170281722339700

https://www.wdsu.com/article/donald-trump-executive-orders-inauguration-parade/63486993

https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions

https://www.nytimes.com/2025/01/21/us/trump-birthright-citizenship.html

https://constitution.congress.gov/constitution/amendment-14

https://avalon.law.yale.edu/18th_century/fed74.asp

https://x.com/OpenAI/status/1881830103858172059

https://x.com/sama/status/1882106524090482701

https://x.com/GavinSBaker/status/1882081746877063677

https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1881923570458304780

https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1882303826214162580

https://x.com/satyanadella/status/1882340818289307954

https://x.com/GregKamradt/status/1881762305152872654

https://x.com/chamath/status/1881773205498876255

https://x.com/documentingbtc/status/1882530869010989287

https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/01/strengthening-american-leadership-in-digital-financial-technology

https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/01/removing-barriers-to-american-leadership-in-artificial-intelligence

https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/01/presidents-council-of-advisors-on-science-and-technology

https://www.goodreads.com/quotes/489251-in-this-age-in-this-country-public-sentiment-is-everything

https://x.com/SpeakerJohnson/status/1882083118032846868

(0:00) House Whip Tom Emmer on Trump's political talent, the Biden conspiracy, taking back the Democratic party, immigration, the role of Whip

(33:53) California Rep. Eric Swalwell on where Democrats went wrong, how to rebrand the party, TikTok ban, and more

(1:08:01) California Rep. Ro Khanna on reforming the Democratic party, Bob Iger as LA Mayor, CA Leadership, TikTok ban

Follow the Besties:

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https://x.com/GOPMajorityWhip

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https://x.com/ericswalwell

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https://x.com/RoKhanna

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https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod

Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://x.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://x.com/TheZachEffect

(0:00) Besties intro Senator Ted Cruz; history of the "Come and take it" flag

(2:21) Texas vs. California: how to approach building and entrepreneurship

(10:25) Thoughts on immigration, serving in the Senate, over-politicization

(16:55) How to create a bipartisan consensus on immigration, increasing prosperity through opportunity

(23:54) How Sen. Cruz would approach Trump's first two weeks of his second term

(29:02) DOGE's two major challenges, unlimited Congressional terms, ideology over party, the great political flip

(35:22) Trump's strategy on Greenland/Denmark, Panama Canal, and Canada

(42:45) Thoughts on Senate confirmation hearings

Follow the Besties:

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https://x.com/tedcruz

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Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://x.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://x.com/TheZachEffect

(0:00) The Besties welcome Mark Pincus!

(3:53) Mark's background

(6:02) How Mark got red-pilled for Trump, maintaining friendships despite political differences

(23:21) LA Wildfires update: Newsom's EOs, market impact of price controls

(51:32) Congestion pricing in NYC, fixing broken cities

(1:08:33) TikTok ban: origin and potential outcomes

(1:19:15) MBA hiring downturn

(1:34:37) Conspiracy Corner: Mark's take on UFOs and UAPs!

Follow the Besties:

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Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://x.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://x.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://www.piratewires.com

https://x.com/micsolana

https://www.athena.com

https://nypost.com/2024/11/04/us-news/tech-billionaire-mark-pincus-reveals-hes-voting-for-trump

https://x.com/TheTechnXMedia/status/1878459564980392410

https://www.gov.ca.gov/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/EO-N-4-25-Rebuilding-Final-signed.pdf

https://www.gov.ca.gov/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/EO-N-7-25-_-Land-Speculation-1.14.25-bl-_GGN-Signed_.pdf

https://x.com/MayorOfLA/status/1878630125786566664

https://congestionreliefzone.mta.info

https://www.nytimes.com/2025/01/13/nyregion/congestion-pricing-nyc.html

https://x.com/friedberg/status/1652334973586915328

https://x.com/markpinc/status/1878575249505333606

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T72DfPEBn0A&t=29s

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-01-14/china-discusses-sale-of-tiktok-us-to-musk-as-one-possible-option

https://www.wsj.com/lifestyle/careers/harvard-mba-employment-rate-job-hunt-difficulty-addfc3ec

(0:00) The Besties welcome Cyan Banister!

(9:16) Reacting to the LA wildfires: broken incentives, leadership failures, lessons learned

(36:51) Insurance issues, rebuilding headwinds, reclaiming the government

(59:44) Zuck goes full free speech, fires third-party fact-checkers, opts for Community Notes model

(1:20:19) Nvidia goes consumer at CES: market cap impact, most interesting vertical

(1:34:49) Why Trump wants Greenland

(1:40:05) Conspiracy Corner: Who built the pyramids?

Follow the Besties:

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https://x.com/cyantist

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Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://x.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://x.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_SQ_myzmV_Q

https://www.cnrfc.noaa.gov/awipsProducts/RNORR4RSA.php

https://x.com/JonVigliotti/status/1877020919475884110

https://x.com/FearedBuck/status/1877355797245514085

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vKJ5WeBc7Us

https://x.com/CrazyyHub/status/1823574726738092402

https://www.latimes.com/visuals/photography/la-me-fw-archives-the-1961-bel-air-brush-fire-20170419-story.html

https://www.rainmaker.com

https://www.ksbw.com/article/california-fire-evacuation-maps/63382651

https://x.com/shaunmmaguire/status/1877366727547433382

https://x.com/WorldTimesWT/status/1876887200526111017

https://x.com/ericabbenante/status/1877207054105886836

https://x.com/laurapowellesq/status/1877143625588682940

https://x.com/jeremykauffman/status/1877128641802285064

https://x.com/deb8rr/status/1877539354802876576

https://x.com/Jason/status/1877183155821494513

https://about.fb.com/news/2025/01/meta-more-speech-fewer-mistakes

https://www.americanrhetoric.com/speeches/PDFFiles/Mark-Zuckerberg-Letter-on-Govt-Censorship.pdf

https://x.com/townhallcom/status/1876684277787873397

https://www.wsj.com/tech/ai/nvidia-ceo-pitches-robotics-cars-as-growth-areas-to-consumer-electronics-audience-68905f2d

https://www.nvidia.com/en-us/project-digits

https://polymarket.com/markets/creators/all-in

(0:00) The Besties welcome Gavin Baker and recap ski week!

(5:38) Biggest Political Winner

(9:26) Biggest Political Loser

(17:34) Biggest Business Winner

(32:43) Biggest Business Loser

(46:54) Biggest Business Deal

(57:04) Most Contrarian Belief

(1:12:59) Best Performing Asset

(1:22:56) Worst Performing Asset

(1:30:19) Most Anticipated Trend

(1:38:59) Most Anticipated Media

(1:43:03) Super Predictions

(1:46:50) Bonus: Drones, UFOs, and more

Follow the besties:

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Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://x.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://x.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://shop.unitree.com/products/unitree-go2

https://shop.unitree.com/products/unitree-g1

https://a16zcrypto.com/posts/article/state-of-crypto-report-2024

https://x.com/chamath/status/1873144394100187263

https://polymarket.com/event/will-openai-become-a-for-profit-business-before-april-2025

(0:00) Bestie intros

(3:07) The Besties welcome Box CEO Aaron Levie!

(5:40) Thoughts on Sacks's new role, what areas he can have immediate positive impact on in crypto and AI

(18:42) DOGE's first casualty and its paradigm-shifting potential

(48:25) Conspiracy Corner: What are the drones over New Jersey!?

(57:36) Zuck joins Team Elon against OpenAI, AI's competitive landscape and downstream impact on business software

(1:27:29) Google's AI turnaround, future of AI physics and video models

Follow the besties:

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Follow Aaron Levie:

https://x.com/levie

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Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://x.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://x.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/government-shutdown-continuing-resolution-march-14

https://x.com/Jason/status/1869816646954823916

https://docs.house.gov/billsthisweek/20241216/CR.pdf

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/government-shutdown-house-vote-continuing-resolution

https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1869730547851051029

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/continuing-resolution-government-shutdown-2024

https://x.com/VivekGRamaswamy/status/1869407887983821089

https://avalon.law.yale.edu/18th_century/fed58.asp

https://x.com/patrickc/status/1869422495985750459

https://x.com/chamath/status/1869773044832718917

https://x.com/SpeakerPelosi/status/1869871681830879256

https://x.com/RepJayapal/status/1869823494588162475

https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1869485580276629975

https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1869482581181554704

https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1869487359420727338

https://www.wsj.com/politics/biden-white-house-age-function-diminished-3906a839

https://www.cnbc.com/2024/12/19/faa-drone-flights-are-temporarily-banned-new-jersey.html

https://x.com/KanekoaTheGreat

https://x.com/AutismCapital

https://x.com/Geiger_Capital

https://www.cnbc.com/2024/09/27/openai-sees-5-billion-loss-this-year-on-3point7-billion-in-revenue.html

https://www.axios.com/2024/12/19/openai-bret-taylor-nonprofit-restructuring

https://openai.com/index/scale-the-benefits-of-ai

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/09/25/technology/mira-murati-openai.html

https://apnews.com/article/elon-musk-openai-lawsuit-sam-altman-chatgpt-36bc55dbb8b4f9e1e5675ff7564e5fa0

https://www.theverge.com/2024/12/13/24320880/meta-california-ag-letter-openai-non-profit-elon-musk

https://x.com/DailyPalantir/status/1869097046889882057

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-10-28/openai-cfo-says-75-of-its-revenue-comes-from-paying-consumers

https://x.com/GoogleDeepMind/status/1868703624714395907

https://x.com/_philschmid/status/1869639246434246966

(0:00) The Besties welcome Keith Rabois!

(4:01) Keith explains why he returned to Khosla Ventures, the differences between Founders Fund and Khosla, and his husband Jacob Helberg's role in Trump Admin

(13:09) Business acumen of Trump's cabinet and appointees, diversity of opinion

(25:59) Google's new quantum chip: potential impact on encryption, cryptography, and more

(43:50) Apple developing new server chip for AI inference, iOS flop, why its product culture is failing

(54:30) TikTok panics after appeals court upholds the "divest-or-ban" law, with a January 19th deadline

(1:03:55) State of Venture Capital, why Stripe is still private, thoughts on crypto

Follow the besties:

https://x.com/chamath

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Follow Keith:

https://x.com/rabois

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https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod

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https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod

Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://x.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://x.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://www.tiktok.com/@frankielapenna/video/7010077215576575238

https://www.axios.com/2024/12/06/trump-billionaires-cabinet-elon-musk

https://blog.google/technology/research/google-willow-quantum-chip

https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-024-08449-y

https://research.google/blog/suppressing-quantum-errors-by-scaling-a-surface-code-logical-qubit

https://quantumai.google/roadmap

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hartmut_Neven

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Double-slit_experiment

https://www.discovery.com/science/Double-Slit-Experiment

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Schr%C3%B6dinger%27s_cat

https://www.theinformation.com/articles/apple-is-working-on-ai-chip-with-broadcom?rc=pxkrxo

https://x.com/rabois/status/870673635375104000

https://www.amazon.com/Company-Giants-Conversations-Visionaries-Digital/dp/0070329656

https://www.cnn.com/2024/12/09/tech/bytedance-tiktok-halt-us-ban-intl/index.html

https://apnews.com/article/tiktok-us-ban-sale-china-congress-de12b4d22aa8095e62cb0982a6e62235

https://apnews.com/article/tiktok-ban-congress-bill-1c48466df82f3684bd6eb21e61ebcb8d

https://pitchbook.com/news/reports/q3-2024-pitchbook-nvca-venture-monitor

https://www.cnbc.com/2024/12/12/servicetitan-starts-trading-on-nasdaq-after-ipo.html

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/12/11/business/dealbook/ftc-trump-ferguson-khan.html

https://www.ben-evans.com/benedictevans/2021/6/15/antitrust

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-12-05/convertible-bond-arbs-are-making-microstrategy-wall-street-s-hottest-trade

(0:00) Bestie announcement!

(2:53) Gavin Baker and Joe Lonsdale join the show

(4:14) State of the Trump Bump: Debt focus, Deregulation, America's lucky position

(20:08) Trump nominates Paul Atkins as SEC Chair, replacing Gary Gensler: What this means for crypto and other markets

(41:07) Thoughts on Michael Saylor's Bitcoin play, state of defense tech, and the US/China AI competition

(49:25) xAI's massive GPU cluster, expanding to 1M GPUs, how Grok 3 will test AI scaling laws, and what's next

(1:08:28) UnitedHealth CEO murdered, reactions

Get virtual tickets for The All-In Holiday Spectacular!:

https://allin.com/events

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Follow Gavin Baker:

https://x.com/GavinSBaker

Follow Joe Lonsdale:

https://x.com/JTLonsdale

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https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod

Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://x.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://x.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/113603133222686186

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/12/04/business/trump-sec-paul-atkins.html

https://x.com/davidmarcus/status/1862654506774810641

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-12-05/convertible-bond-arbs-are-making-microstrategy-wall-street-s-hottest-trade

https://www.ft.com/content/9c0516cf-dd12-4665-aa22-712de854fe2f

https://www.nytimes.com/live/2024/12/04/nyregion/brian-thompson-uhc-ceo-shot

https://abcnews.go.com/US/man-shot-chest-midtown-manhattan-masked-gunman-large/story?id=116446382&cid=social_twitter_abcn

https://nypost.com/2024/12/06/media/taylor-lorenz-defends-unitedhealthcare-ceo-brian-thompson-jokes

(0:00) Bestie intros!

(1:54) Breaking down the DOGE roadmap

(24:28) Milei's impact, DOGE's tight timeline, impact on GDP growth, "default sustainable," how to communicate DOGE

(48:11) WW3 risk: Biden's recent escalation

(1:00:43) Science Corner: Fat cells can remember being fat!

Get tickets for The All-In Holiday Spectacular!:

https://allin.ticketsauce.com/e/all-in-holiday-spectacular

Follow the besties:

https://x.com/chamath

https://x.com/Jason

https://x.com/DavidSacks

https://x.com/friedberg

Follow on X:

https://x.com/theallinpod

Follow on Instagram:

https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod

Follow on TikTok:

https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod

Follow on LinkedIn:

https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod

Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://x.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://x.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://www.wsj.com/opinion/musk-and-ramaswamy-the-doge-plan-to-reform-government-supreme-court-guidance-end-executive-power-grab-fa51c020

https://x.com/BehizyTweets/status/1859364239229821022

https://x.com/sfliberty/status/1858936359949304105

https://x.com/MarioNawfal/status/1859946626271388068

https://x.com/realdogenews/status/1859233043686334791

https://x.com/popeye31jc/status/1859233598328492360

https://x.com/MattForVA/status/1859248996377612755

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8NLzc9kobDk

https://tradingeconomics.com/argentina/inflation-cpi

https://x.com/TrumpWarRoom/status/1858258226199818595

https://x.com/Pismo_B/status/1858018620456186221

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/10/31/world/europe/russia-gains-ukraine-maps.html

https://www.cnn.com/2024/11/17/politics/biden-authorizes-ukraine-missiles-russian-targets/index.html

https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-024-08165-7

https://x.com/bryan_johnson/status/1860022160833806646

(0:00) Bestie intros!

(7:57) Election impact on Bitcoin, crypto, and fintech stocks

(21:56) M&A and IPOs: What to expect in 2025

(39:52) Pharma advertising on cable tv: Should it be allowed? Is big pharma buying influence?

(58:17) FBI raids Polymarket CEO Shayne Coplan's home

(1:05:51) Trump's transition picks: Strategy, highest upside/downside, and more

Get tickets for The All-In Holiday Spectacular!:

https://allin.ticketsauce.com/e/all-in-holiday-spectacular

Follow the besties:

https://x.com/chamath

https://x.com/Jason

https://x.com/DavidSacks

https://x.com/friedberg

Follow on X:

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Follow on Instagram:

https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod

Follow on TikTok:

https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod

Follow on LinkedIn:

https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod

Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://x.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://x.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://www.google.com/finance/quote/BTC-USD

https://www.sec.gov/newsroom/speeches-statements/gensler-remarks-pli-s-56th-annual-institute-securities-regulation-111424

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DGS10

https://www.businessinsider.com/federal-reserve-cuts-interest-rates-quarter-point-powell-inflation-election-2024-11

https://www.cnbc.com/2024/11/13/cpi-inflation-october-2024.html

https://x.com/elerianm/status/1857297087010107728

https://x.com/chamath/status/1359248379377762310

https://www.congress.gov/bill/118th-congress/house-bill/4763/text

https://stockanalysis.com/ipos/statistics

https://pitchbook.com/news/reports/q2-2024-pitchbook-nvca-venture-monitor

https://www.google.com/finance/quote/TSLA:NASDAQ

https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1848055198494728496

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/13/business/media/msnbc-fox-news-ratings-election.html

https://x.com/EndWokeness/status/1856208378541769076

https://www.americanrhetoric.com/speeches/PDFFiles/Mark-Zuckerberg-Letter-on-Govt-Censorship.pdf

https://www.cjr.org/the_trump_reader/trump-threatens-new-york-times-penguin-random-house-critical-coverage.php

https://nypost.com/2024/11/13/business/fbi-seizes-polymarket-ceos-phone-electronics-after-betting-platform-predicts-trump-win-source

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-11-13/polymarket-investigated-by-doj-for-letting-us-users-bet-on-platform

https://www.reuters.com/legal/us-federal-court-upholds-ruling-letting-kalshiex-list-election-betting-contracts-2024-10-02

https://www.nbcnews.com/tech/tech-news/fbi-raids-polymarket-ceo-shayne-coplans-apartment-seizes-phone-source-rcna180180

https://x.com/shayne_coplan/status/1856838409861386722

https://www.cftc.gov/PressRoom/PressReleases/8478-22

https://x.com/shayne_coplan/status/1856808022481539192

https://fortune.com/crypto/2024/10/30/polymarket-trump-election-crypto-wash-trading-researchers

https://x.com/WallStreetSilv/status/1852863585375977877

https://x.com/charliekirk11/status/1857237886736715971

https://x.com/VivekGRamaswamy/status/1856725762130260383

(0:00) Bestie intros!

(4:55) Sacks recaps election night at Mar-a-Lago

(8:28) Analyzing the results: how Trump won, why Kamala and the Democratic Party lost

(25:55) The failing Democratic coalition, campaign spend disparity, Trump's advantage in earned media

(37:59) What mattered most: Policy, Candidate, or Campaign?

(50:44) GOP will likely win House and Senate, potential cabinet positions, avoiding neocons

(1:10:42) Cabinet positions, shaking up the unelected bureaucratic branch

(1:28:47) California rejects progressives

(1:35:17) Abortion laws being settled around the US

Get tickets for The All-In Holiday Spectacular!:

https://allin.ticketsauce.com/e/all-in-holiday-spectacular

Follow the besties:

https://x.com/chamath

https://x.com/Jason

https://x.com/DavidSacks

https://x.com/friedberg

Follow on X:

https://x.com/theallinpod

Follow on Instagram:

https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod

Follow on TikTok:

https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod

Follow on LinkedIn:

https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod

Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://x.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://x.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://x.com/twobitidiot/status/1854192602985255042

https://www.270towin.com/2024-election-results-live/president

https://x.com/ChrisCillizza/status/1854515791690953066

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_e8-KX3XKL8

https://x.com/Jason/status/1854209590424121464

https://x.com/SawyerMerritt/status/1854045298475110779

https://x.com/DavidSacks/status/1854342908356297068

https://x.com/arifleischer/status/1854270972775305291

https://www.fec.gov/data/spending-bythenumbers/?office=P

https://www.usnews.com/news/national-news/articles/2024-11-01/16-billion-will-be-spent-in-the-2024-election-wheres-it-all-going

https://x.com/DavidSacks/status/1829383729284067659

https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/trump-very-fine-people

https://x.com/TheRabbitHole84/status/1840977783247286429

https://www.cnn.com/election/2024

https://polymarket.com/event/house-control-after-2024-election

https://x.com/MarioNawfal/status/1854536321282519396

https://www.instagram.com/p/DCFJ4mlsmEG/?hl=en

https://x.com/DavidSacks/status/1854202717637411199

https://www.scotusblog.com/2024/06/supreme-court-strikes-down-chevron-curtailing-power-of-federal-agencies

https://x.com/chamath/status/1854229735477551600

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/la-district-attorney-progressive-loses-re-election-gascon-rcna175906

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/11/05/us/elections/results-abortion.html

(0:00) Bestie intros!

(5:40) US Real GDP growth comes in at 2.8%, but there are underlying issues

(29:16) Google earnings: YouTube and Cloud post huge quarters, would they have survived outside of Google?

(36:24) Sacks's idea to auction off public spectrum licenses of major broadcast networks

(42:17) How the media became one of the least trusted institutions in the US

(54:26) Why Joe Rogan's interview with Trump was not appearing in YouTube search results

(1:08:54) Final pre-election segment: how it's tracking, election integrity, voter fraud stats

Get notified for the Election Night Livestream:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=D4Xaqgd9-Ro

Get tickets for The All-In Holiday Spectacular!:

https://allin.ticketsauce.com/e/all-in-holiday-spectacular

Follow the besties:

https://x.com/chamath

https://x.com/Jason

https://x.com/DavidSacks

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Follow on X:

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Follow on Instagram:

https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod

Follow on TikTok:

https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod

Follow on LinkedIn:

https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod

Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://x.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://x.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DGS10

https://x.com/freesites_com/status/1851615700869144908

https://www.cnbc.com/2024/10/30/dropbox-slashes-20percent-of-global-workforce-eliminating-500-roles.html

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FYONGDA188S

https://www.commercebank.com/about-us/prime-rate-update

https://www.fdic.gov/system/files/2024-05/unrealized-gains-losses-on-investment-securities.png

https://abc.xyz/assets/71/a5/78197a7540c987f13d247728a371/2024q3-alphabet-earnings-release.pdf

https://www.cnbc.com/2024/10/29/google-cfo-says-company-can-push-a-little-further-in-cost-savings.html

https://variety.com/2024/digital/news/youtube-q3-2024-advertising-revenue-growth-1236193926

https://x.com/DavidSacks/status/1818467743479542130

https://news.gallup.com/poll/512861/media-confidence-matches-2016-record-low.aspx

https://news.gallup.com/poll/508169/historically-low-faith-institutions-continues.aspx

https://www.axios.com/2023/10/24/americans-trust-in-media-plummets-to-historic-low-poll

https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2024/10/28/jeff-bezos-washington-post-trust

https://x.com/DavidSacks/status/1850277560816681255

https://x.com/DavidSacks/status/1850979360037356001/photo/1

https://x.com/davidsacks/status/1844429818554876026

https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1851745648313602189

(0:00) Bestie intros!

(3:49) Announcement: Besties are hosting The All-In Holiday Spectacular in San Francisco on December 7th! Get tickets: https://allin.com/events

(9:08) Macro and markets: making sense of unique asset diversions

(27:23) Gen Z's economic cultural movements

(38:28) Reallocating assets for a new period of constraints

(53:52) Election update: Data leans Trump as we enter the home stretch

(1:19:01) Is Starbucks fixable? Or has it hit market saturation?

Get tickets to The All-In Holiday Spectacular:

https://allin.com/events

Follow the besties:

https://x.com/chamath

https://x.com/Jason

https://x.com/DavidSacks

https://x.com/friedberg

Follow on X:

https://x.com/theallinpod

Follow on Instagram:

https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod

Follow on TikTok:

https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod

Follow on LinkedIn:

https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod

Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://x.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://x.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://allin.com/events

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DGS10

https://www.google.com/finance/quote/GCW00:COMEX

https://www.google.com/finance/quote/SPY:NYSEARCA

https://www.google.com/finance/quote/BTC-USD

https://www.cnbc.com/2024/10/22/tudor-jones-is-long-gold-and-bitcoin-as-hedge-fund-titan-believes-all-roads-lead-to-inflation.html

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/stanley-druckenmiller-says-hes-shorting-u-s-bonds-and-staying-out-of-china-1fcf751e

https://www.cnbc.com/2024/10/10/cpi-inflation-september-2024.html

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/A091RC1Q027SBEA

https://news.bloomberglaw.com/daily-tax-report-international/uk-budget-fears-push-owners-to-close-firms-to-avoid-tax-hikes

https://www.banque-france.fr/en/statistics/compagnies/business-failures-france-2024-09

https://www.reuters.com/markets/brazil-inflation-expectations-above-target-says-cenbank-director-picchetti-2024-10-23

https://www.cnbc.com/2024/09/14/more-than-half-of-gen-z-want-to-be-influencers-but-its-constant.html

https://pro.morningconsult.com/analyst-reports/influencer-marketing-trends-report

https://www.longtermtrends.net/market-cap-to-gdp-the-buffett-indicator

https://www.oaktreecapital.com/insights/memo/ruminating-on-asset-allocation

https://www.macrotrends.net/2577/sp-500-pe-ratio-price-to-earnings-chart

https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris

https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/23/opinion/election-polls-results-trump-harris.html

https://www.cnbc.com/2024/10/24/polymarket-trump-french-election-bet.html

https://x.com/scubaryan_/status/1848072120699625968

https://www.cnn.com/2024/10/23/politics/video/border-wall-kamala-harris-cnn-town-hall-digvid

https://x.com/justintrudeau/status/1849467713711710699

https://x.com/scubaryan_/status/1848072120699625968

https://awfulannouncing.com/barstool/dave-portnoy-turned-down-kamala-harris-interview.html

https://investor.starbucks.com/news/financial-releases/news-details/2024/Starbucks-Reports-Preliminary-Q4-and-Full-Fiscal-Year-2024-Results/default.aspx

(0:00) Bestie intros

(2:01) Polls vs Prediction markets, dueling interviews, election update

(16:06) Tesla's Robotaxi event and SpaceX's Starship catch

(27:36) Uber reportedly looking into acquiring Expedia

(45:19) Nuclear Vibe Shift? Big tech is looking toward nuclear solutions to power AI

(1:11:10) Lawfare from the California Coastal Commission

Follow the besties:

https://x.com/chamath

https://x.com/Jason

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https://x.com/friedberg

Follow on X:

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Follow on Instagram:

https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod

Follow on TikTok:

https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod

Follow on LinkedIn:

https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod

Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://x.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://x.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://polymarket.com/event/presidential-election-winner-2024?tid=1729285428575

https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1846826782797799580

https://x.com/collinrugg/status/1845472475322462468

https://x.com/SawyerMerritt/status/1839424008900477354

https://www.ft.com/content/94a25bf7-e62b-462a-a4f0-e4feb6e244f7

https://www.google.com/finance/quote/EXPE:NASDAQ

https://companiesmarketcap.com/expedia/revenue

https://x.com/Jason/status/1847016512583786921

https://www.cnbc.com/2024/10/16/amazon-goes-nuclear-investing-more-than-500-million-to-develop-small-module-reactors.html

https://www.cnbc.com/2024/10/14/google-inks-deal-with-nuclear-company-as-data-center-power-demand-surges.html

https://www.cnbc.com/2024/09/20/constellation-energy-to-restart-three-mile-island-and-sell-the-power-to-microsoft.html

https://www.politico.com/news/2024/10/16/california-coastal-commission-elon-musk-00184017

(0:00) Announcement from Friedberg

(0:18) Besties intro JD Vance!

(3:33) America's innovation problem

(5:04) Thoughts on Trump

(8:53) Would JD Vance have certified the election in 2020?

(12:02) Increasing government efficiency, shrinking the deficit, Vance's role as VP, thoughts on EOs

(19:35) Political realignment: Dick Cheney endorses Kamala Harris, winners and losers of the last 30 years

(23:58) Thoughts on Lina Khan clamping down on tech M&A and her impact on the startup ecosystem

(25:55) Fixing the Southern Border

(32:16) How to practically approach deportations, who's coming in through the Southern Border?

(36:51) Relationship with China

Follow JD Vance:

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Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://x.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://x.com/TheZachEffect

(0:00) Bestie intros!

(3:18) The science behind Hurricanes Helene and Milton

(14:59) The economics of intensifying natural disasters

(29:03) AlphaFold creators win Nobel Prize in Chemistry

(35:17) The Jayter's Ball

(38:53) Google antitrust update: DOJ is going for a breakup

(53:32) VC giveback: CRV will return ~$275M of a $500M fund to LPs

(1:03:44) New TikTok survey shows increased usage as a news source

(1:15:26) Election update: Are polling problems causing a strategy shift for Kamala Harris?

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Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://x.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://x.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://allin.com/meetups

https://youtube.com/@allin

https://allin.com/tequila

https://allin.com

https://x.com/Ry_Bass/status/1844367980249178396

https://www.newsweek.com/hurricane-helene-update-economic-losses-damage-could-total-160-billion-1961240

https://www.climate.gov/news-features/blogs/enso/september-2024-enso-update-binge-watch

https://www.nature.com/articles/s43247-024-01442-3

https://x.com/vkhosla/status/1844166857655533811

https://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/hrd_sub/sfury.html

https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-024-03214-7

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-10-09/us-says-it-s-weighing-google-breakup-as-remedy-in-monopoly-case

https://assets.bwbx.io/documents/users/iqjWHBFdfxIU/rtKjE02hAh_k/v0

https://x.com/AOC/status/1844034727935988155

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/02/technology/crv-vc-fund-returning-money.html

https://www.axios.com/2023/03/03/founders-fund-slashes-vc-peter-thiel

https://www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/2024/09/17/more-americans-regularly-get-news-on-tiktok-especially-young-adults

https://www.pewresearch.org/data-labs/2024/10/08/who-u-s-adults-follow-on-tiktok

https://www.wsj.com/world/europe/russia-pays-criminals-to-sow-mayhem-in-europe-warns-u-k-spy-chief-21ab960c

https://x.com/iapolls2022/status/1844418916107341948

https://x.com/2waytvapp/status/1844803367740096811

https://x.com/DavidSacks/status/1829383729284067659

(0:00) Announcement from Friedberg

(0:24) Besties intro Elon Musk!

(1:23) The Battle of Free Speech

(10:24) Potential government efficiency agency

(27:45) SpaceX updates, overreaching regulations

(36:10) Thoughts on Boeing's culture

(38:27) The 80/20 AI Future

(54:03) Elon and Jason share unaired SNL skits

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Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://x.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://x.com/TheZachEffect

(0:00) The Besties intro Mark Cuban: Voting record, working with Ross Perot's campaign in 1992

(5:43) The history of Cuban's love/hate relationship with Trump

(19:08) Trump's performance as President: what he got right and wrong

(40:46) Party nominations: Kamala vs. Trump

(49:18) Biden's performance as President: what he got right and wrong

(55:45) Should Kamala share blame for Biden's failures?

(1:07:01) International conflict, national debt, crypto regulation

(1:21:33) General sense of Kamala Harris, why she's been avoiding adversarial interviews, why Sacks supports Trump

(1:31:47) Selling a majority of his Mavericks stake, changing business landscape of the NBA, what he's working on at Cost Plus Drugs

(1:44:50) Thoughts on AI, what's next for him

(1:51:37) Relationship with Elon, re-evaluating the Twitter deal, OpenAI's new fundraise

Follow Mark:

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Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://x.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://x.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=pet&s=mcrfpus2&f=m

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/GFDEBTN

https://www.architecturaldigest.com/story/wait-are-windowless-bedrooms-going-to-be-a-thing

https://washingtonreporter.news/editorial/scoop-kamala-harris-likely-to-nominate-gary-gensler-as-treasury-secretary-if-elected-senate-sources

(0:00) Announcement from Friedberg!

(0:21) Sacks intros John Mearsheimer and Jeffrey Sachs

(1:32) What is the Deep State Party, and what are their goals?

(13:56) Should America leverage its power against dictators?

(22:07) The China threat: avoiding the escalatory path to nuclear war

(36:08) India's growing role; are China's wounds self-inflicted?

(47:07) Conflict in the Middle East and the path to peace

Follow the besties:

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Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://x.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://x.com/TheZachEffect

(0:00) Bestie intros: In Memoriam

(6:43) OpenAI's $150B valuation: bull and bear cases

(24:46) Will AI hurt or help SaaS incumbents?

(40:41) Implications from OpenAI's for-profit conversion

(49:57) Meta's impressive new AR glasses: is this the killer product for the age of AI?

(1:09:05) Blue collar boom: trades are becoming more popular with young people as entry-level tech jobs dry up

(1:20:55) Risk of nuclear war increasing

Follow the besties:

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Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://x.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://x.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://www.reuters.com/technology/artificial-intelligence/openais-stunning-150-billionvaluation-hinges-upending-corporate-structure-2024-09-14/

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-09-25/openai-cto-mira-murati-says-she-will-leave-the-company

https://x.com/chiefaioffice

https://openai.com/our-structure

https://x.com/unusual_whales/status/1658664383717978112

https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1839121268521492975

https://www.politico.com/news/2024/08/26/zuckerberg-meta-white-house-pressure-00176399

https://appleinsider.com/articles/12/12/28/early-apple-prototypes-by-frog-designs-hartmut-esslinger-featured-in-upcoming-book

https://www.cnbc.com/2024/09/16/the-toolbelt-generation-why-teens-are-losing-faith-in-college.html

https://www.wsj.com/tech/tech-jobs-artificial-intelligence-cce22393

https://layoffs.fyi

https://educationdata.org/college-enrollment-statistics

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-09-20/zelenskiy-to-push-us-for-nato-invite-weapons-guarantees

(0:00) Bestie intros + All-In Summit recap

(6:50) Fed cuts 50 bps: Economic tailwind, scary signal, or both?

(17:35) AI is coming for call centers; how agent training works

(33:41) US government wasting $50B for rural internet and EV charging stations

(47:10) Reflecting on some rough years in VC: is the model broken?

(1:07:18) Reacting to the first Trump/Kamala debate, what factors will make each candidate can win or lose the race

Follow the besties:

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Follow on X:

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Follow on LinkedIn:

https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod

Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://x.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://x.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://www.cnn.com/2024/09/19/investing/stocks-fed-rate-cut/index.html

https://www.wsj.com/livecoverage/stock-market-today-dow-sp500-nasdaq-live-09-05-2024/card/say-goodbye-to-the-inverted-yield-curve--snsL80qp8JX9UvaMCvVc

https://mearsheimer.ai

https://seekingalpha.com/news/4144652-klarna-shuts-down-salesforce-as-service-provider-workday-to-meet-same-fate-amid-ai-initiatives

https://x.com/brendancarrfcc/status/1836079197967532497

https://reason.com/2024/05/30/7-5-billion-in-government-cash-only-built-8-e-v-chargers-in-2-5-years

https://www.cnbc.com/2024/09/17/spacexs-starlink-has-2500-aircraft-under-contract.html

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-01-31/the-us-installed-more-than-1-000-ev-charging-stations-since-summer

https://x.com/brendancarrfcc/status/1836435062994121053

https://x.com/brendancarrfcc/status/1834009499931463705

https://x.com/molson_hart/status/1835650978906857948

https://x.com/danprimack/status/1824506087116058665

https://x.com/Jason/status/1768073854545449228

https://chamath.substack.com/p/2023-annual-letter

https://x.com/Jason/status/1836820167449326063

https://www.axios.com/2024/04/03/us-global-venture-capital-q1

https://www.wsj.com/articles/university-endowments-mint-billions-in-golden-era-of-venture-capital-11632907802

https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model

https://x.com/GrageDustin/status/1836178999178866766

https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/trump-very-fine-people

https://x.com/EndWokeness/status/1836516153893519867

(0:00) Bestie intros! Jason goes "Founder Mode"

(1:03) All-In Summit lineup announcement

(9:01) Understanding "Founder Mode"

(32:52) Bolt is back in the news as Ryan Breslow goes "Founder Mode"

(52:28) Tech's Section 230 protections might be in danger after new ruling

(1:08:45) DOJ charges two Russians with infiltrating US media company

(1:22:42) Kamala's economic pivot

Follow the besties:

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Follow on Instagram:

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Follow on TikTok:

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https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod

Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://x.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://x.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://paulgraham.com/foundermode.html

https://x.com/chamath/status/1831003871344501069

https://www.google.com/finance/quote/PANW:NASDAQ

https://a16z.com/on-micromanagement

https://www.amazon.com/gp/product/0679762884

https://www.google.com/finance/quote/ABNB:NASDAQ

https://www.amazon.com/Five-Dysfunctions-Team-Leadership-Fable/dp/0787960756

https://techcrunch.com/2022/01/14/online-checkout-bolt-decacorn

https://www.businessinsider.com/bolt-ceo-calls-stripe-ycombinator-mob-bosses-twitter-silicon-valley-2022-1

https://www.paymentsdive.com/news/bolt-ceo-ryan-breslow-steps-down/618058

https://www.nytimes.com/2022/05/10/business/bolt-start-up-ryan-breslow-investors.html

https://techcrunch.com/2023/07/21/bolt-ex-ceo-ryan-breslow-subject-of-sec-probe

https://techcrunch.com/2023/10/06/bolt-ceo-discusses-moving-on-after-sec-probe

https://www.theinformation.com/articles/bolt-once-worth-11-billion-slashes-price-97-in-buyback?rc=pxkrxo

https://www.axios.com/2024/08/22/bolt-investors-baffled

https://x.com/MikeSacksEsq/status/1828795866590896599

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2022-11-30/is-tiktok-responsible-if-kids-diedoing-dangerous-viral-challenges

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0JTcxIVlQfU

https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1830440852411326782

https://www.justice.gov/opa/pr/two-rt-employees-indicted-covertly-funding-and-directing-us-company-published-thousands

https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1366266/dl

https://www.axios.com/2024/09/05/putin-harris-trump-2024-election-russia-interference

https://www.cnn.com/2020/07/30/tech/2020-election-russia-disinformation/index.html

https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model

https://www.liberalpatriot.com/p/the-rise-of-vince-lombardi-democrats

(0:00) Bestie intros: Buttons are back for fall

(1:48) Reid Hoffman joins the show, reminiscing on PayPal stories with Sacks

(7:52) State of AI: Nvidia, cluster buildouts, competition

(19:51) OpenAI's corporate structure and thoughts on Elon's lawsuit

(29:09) Inflection AI's deal structure with Microsoft, Lina Khan's impact on the tech industry

(41:27) Reid's perspective on Kamala being hot swapped for Biden, funding groups that attempted to keep RFK Jr. off ballots

(52:02) Reid's thoughts on growing antisemitism

(55:03) Thoughts on Kamala's economic proposals: price caps, wealth tax, etc.

(1:04:19) How Silicon Valley views both candidates, why Reid funded legal action against Trump

(1:19:03) Robert F. Kennedy Jr. joins the show and recaps his campaign and decision to back Trump

(1:31:13) Falling out with the Democratic Party

(1:37:26) Potential role in the Trump Administration, Make America Healthy Again agenda

(1:58:01) Sacks recaps RFK Jr's campaign, RFK Jr. on Trump's legacy

Follow the besties:

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https://x.com/Jason

https://x.com/DavidSacks

https://x.com/friedberg

Follow Reid Hoffman:

https://x.com/reidhoffman

Follow Robert F. Kennedy Jr.:

https://x.com/RobertKennedyJr

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Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://x.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://x.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://nvidianews.nvidia.com/news/nvidia-announces-financial-results-for-second-quarter-fiscal-2025

https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/gavin-baker-ai-semiconductors-and-the-robotic-frontier/id1154105909?i=1000666758592

(0:00) Bestie intros!

(1:59) Labor department revises down nonfarm payrolls by 818K

(15:02) MIT publishes data from first incoming class post race-based admissions ban

(36:16) Decision 2024: State of the race, Polls vs prediction markets

(52:33) Tale of two tickets: Private sector vs. Public sector

(1:05:19) Kamala Harris supports Biden's tax plans, including a 25% wealth tax on those with more than $100M in assets

Follow the besties:

https://twitter.com/chamath

https://twitter.com/Jason

https://twitter.com/DavidSacks

https://twitter.com/friedberg

Follow on X:

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Follow on Instagram:

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Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://www.cnbc.com/2024/08/21/nonfarm-payroll-growth-revised-down-by-818000-labor-department-says.html

https://x.com/RealEJAntoni/status/1826290040374243821

https://x.com/DavidSacks/status/1664788807059660800

https://www.statista.com/statistics/269959/employment-in-the-united-states

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FEDFUNDS

https://polymarket.com/event/fed-interest-rates-september-2024?tid=1724345228774

https://x.com/chamath/status/1826360792351957141

https://www.nytimes.com/2018/06/15/us/harvard-asian-enrollment-applicants.html

https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model

https://x.com/Polymarket/status/1826469365069271419

https://blockworks.co/news/polymarket-july-all-time-high-trading-volumes

https://www.semafor.com/article/08/19/2024/harris-camp-signals-it-backs-biden-bid-to-raise-taxes-on-wealthy-corporations

https://www.wsj.com/livecoverage/dnc-election-2024-harris-walz/card/harris-backs-tax-increases-proposed-by-biden-pkuLeYl6f1kXrhN4kWgQ

https://www.crfb.org/blogs/kamala-harris-agenda-lower-costs-american-families

https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/131/General-Explanations-FY2024.pdf

(0:00) Bestie intros: Jason gets a dish named after him!

(5:27) DOJ considers breaking up Google after last week's antitrust ruling

(28:10) Starbucks replaces CEO with Chipotle chief

(45:37) Work culture, WFH's damage to informal mentorship

(59:20) Election update: Harris flips the polls despite unclear policy; reports of price control focus

(1:21:27) Boeing's Starliner disaster strands two astronauts in space

(1:33:54) Russia/Ukraine update: Ukraine wins land in Kursk, Nordstream report

Follow the besties:

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https://twitter.com/friedberg

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Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://x.com/harry_schuh/status/1822030518038491400

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-08-13/doj-considers-seeking-google-goog-breakup-after-major-antitrust-win

https://www.wsj.com/business/starbucks-replaces-ceo-as-activist-investors-push-for-changes-43c33bff

https://s203.q4cdn.com/326826266/files/doc_financials/2024/q3/Q3-FY24-Earnings-at-a-Glance.pdf

https://fortune.com/2024/08/13/starbucks-shares-jump-20-after-company-poaches-chipotle-ceo-brian-niccol-chipotle-falls-9

https://www.cafexapp.com

https://www.google.com/finance/quote/CMG:NYSE

https://www.wsj.com/articles/low-wage-workers-climb-the-earnings-ladder-20acd8af

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mzLCpmRad5o

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/nearly-half-dell-full-time-215348261.html

https://x.com/Jason/status/1823826884112867609

https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model

https://x.com/JStein_WaPo/status/1823913395986305342

https://www.npr.org/2024/08/08/nx-s1-5068668/vance-walz-stolen-valor-military-record

https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/walzs-military-record-vances-accusations-stolen-valor/story?id=112618991

https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2024/08/15/kamala-harris-economic-policy-2024

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-08-15/harris-will-propose-price-gouging-ban-on-food-and-groceries

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Whip_Inflation_Now

https://www.google.com/finance/quote/WMT:NYSE

https://www.wsj.com/politics/elections/kamala-harriss-economic-team-and-agenda-start-to-take-shape-7682e539

https://time.com/7009317/reintroduction-of-kamala-harris

https://x.com/TIME/status/1822951410956218385

https://www.axios.com/2024/08/11/kamala-harris-trump-taxes-tips-service-workers

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-08-15/harris-will-propose-price-gouging-ban-on-food-and-groceries

https://www.socialcapital.com/ideas/2019-annual-letter

https://www.google.com/finance/quote/BA:NYSE

https://www.azquotes.com/quote/1413855

https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2024/07/26/boeing-starliner-astronauts-stuck-orbit-space-station

https://spacenews.com/41891nasa-selects-boeing-and-spacex-for-commercial-crew-contracts

https://newatlas.com/space/first-manned-crew-dragon-flight-date

https://qph.cf2.quoracdn.net/main-qimg-26d9f1dddb4d24469b593b28f40d277b-lq

https://spaceflightnow.com/2016/08/02/boeing-nears-fix-for-cst-100-starliner-design-hitch

https://spacenews.com/crewed-starliner-test-flight-could-slip-to-2019

https://spaceflightnow.com/2020/02/28/boeing-says-thorough-testing-would-have-caught-starliner-software-problems

https://spaceflightnow.com/2021/08/19/boeings-starliner-spacecraft-returns-to-processing-facility-for-valve-work

https://www.boeing.com/space/starliner/launch/archive.html

https://boeing.mediaroom.com/2024-06-05-Boeing-Starliner-Spacecraft-Completes-Successful-Launch

https://boeing.mediaroom.com/2024-06-05-Boeing-Starliner-Spacecraft-Completes-Successful-Launch

https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2022/09/27/nord-stream-gas-pipelines-damage-russia

https://www.wsj.com/world/europe/nord-stream-pipeline-explosion-real-story-da24839c

https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2023/04/03/nord-stream-bombing-yacht-andromeda

https://seymourhersh.substack.com/p/how-america-took-out-the-nord-stream

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OS4O8rGRLf8

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ild-PsPD_Uw

(0:00) Bestie intros: Jason is back from COVID!

(3:55) Yen carry trade unravels, Japan's unique economic issues

(27:22) Recession odds growing, is the US already in a "lowkey recession"?

(45:46) Why Buffett is selling Apple and massively increasing Berkshire's cash position

(55:54) Major antitrust ruling against Google, predicting outcomes

(1:22:41) Kamala picks Minnesota Governor Tim Walz as her running mate

Follow the besties:

https://twitter.com/chamath

https://twitter.com/Jason

https://twitter.com/DavidSacks

https://twitter.com/friedberg

Follow on X:

https://twitter.com/theallinpod

Follow on Instagram:

https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod

Follow on TikTok:

https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod

Follow on LinkedIn:

https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod

Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://www.wsj.com/health/wellness/covid-guidelines-2024-cdc-symptoms-contagious-cdefb6b8

https://tradingeconomics.com/japan/interest-rate

https://pebblewriter.com/the-yen-carry-trade-explained

https://www.statista.com/statistics/604424/median-age-of-the-population-in-japan

https://www.reuters.com/markets/asia/japans-nov-core-consumer-inflation-hits-fresh-40-year-high-2022-12-22

https://x.com/GoldmanSachs/status/1793998451291615316

https://www.wsj.com/economy/central-banking/boj-wont-raise-rates-when-markets-are-unstable-deputy-gov-says-6f4bf962

https://www.cnbc.com/2024/03/01/the-us-national-debt-is-rising-by-1-trillion-about-every-100-days.html

https://www.wsj.com/finance/the-u-s-government-will-soon-spend-more-on-interest-payments-than-defense-ee6fbeec

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/07/10/business/archegos-bill-hwang-guilty.html

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-08-08/jpmorgan-says-three-quarters-of-global-carry-trades-now-unwound

https://www.cnbc.com/2024/08/02/job-growth-totals-114000-in-july-much-less-than-expected-as-unemployment-rate-rises-to-4point3percent.html

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/UNRATE

https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-fed-rate-cuts-this-year

https://www.google.com/finance/quote/.DJI:INDEXDJX

https://www.google.com/finance/quote/SPY:NYSEARCA

https://www.google.com/finance/quote/.IXIC:INDEXNASDAQ

https://www.wsj.com/livecoverage/stock-market-today-dow-sp500-nasdaq-live-08-07-2024/card/airbnb-stock-slides-after-rental-company-warns-of-slowing-u-s-demand-inf2c6emjcl5KI7KmkfR

https://www.google.com/finance/quote/ABNB:NASDAQ

https://x.com/RealEJAntoni/status/1799085407394845087

https://www.forbes.com/sites/gurufocus/2024/02/15/warren-buffett-bolsters-chevron-stake-revealing-key-q4-moves

https://www.google.com/finance/quote/AAPL:NASDAQ

https://www.ft.com/content/2aa3b542-d4e4-4afb-8d81-89bb734d7b17

https://www.documentcloud.org/documents/25032786-googleruling

https://x.com/Jason/status/1820823406503157764

https://x.com/chamath/status/1817893425137508474

https://www.vox.com/2018/10/31/18039528/tech-employees-politics-liberal-employers-candidates

https://www.natesilver.net/p/tim-walz-is-a-minnesota-nice-choice

https://x.com/NickFondacaro/status/1820840411335737852

https://x.com/KamalaHQ/status/1820918063966962143

https://amp.cnn.com/cnn/2024/08/06/politics/tim-walz-inside-harris-vp-pick

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/08/07/us/politics/vance-walz-military-record.html

https://x.com/PokerGO/status/1818836856890704291

(0:00) Bestie intros!

(0:38) Election update: Dems energize around Kamala, policy questions remain

(19:33) Trump's NABJ interview: smart or risky?

(33:07) Markets expect rate cut in September, but are we already in a recession?

(40:58) AI buildout causing short-term volatility

(45:46) Assassination of Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh: are we inching closer to war in the Middle East?

(1:06:17) Bill Ackman withdraws Pershing Square USA IPO

Follow the besties:

https://twitter.com/chamath

https://twitter.com/Jason

https://twitter.com/DavidSacks

https://twitter.com/friedberg

Follow on X:

https://twitter.com/theallinpod

Follow on Instagram:

https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod

Follow on TikTok:

https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod

Follow on LinkedIn:

https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod

Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model

https://www.foxnews.com/politics/harris-boycotts-netanyahu-snubs-israeli-leaders-wartime-address-give-sorority-speech

https://nypost.com/2024/07/24/us-news/media-change-tune-on-calling-kamala-harris-border-czar-despite-giving-her-the-title

https://x.com/jeffstorobinsky/status/1818722254542590012

https://apnews.com/business/inflation-general-news-31d83873be23c658d66526745482d572

https://x.com/grdecter/status/1819362069797654784

https://www.wsj.com/economy/consumers/inflation-interest-rates-wealth-loans-51d4276e

https://www.foxbusiness.com/economy/initial-us-employment-reports-overstated-jobs

https://www.foxbusiness.com/personal-finance/q1-gdp-slows-inflation-dips

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/amd-stock-jumps-after-earnings-beat-driven-by-ai-chip-sales-202456320.html

https://www.cnbc.com/2024/07/31/nvidia-stock-up-after-microsoft-amd-quell-fears-ai-buildout-too-fast.html

https://www.ft.com/content/bad6ca0b-82fb-4ddb-b6b8-bd09dacd47ae

https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NVDA:NASDAQ

https://www.google.com/finance/quote/META:NASDAQ

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/08/01/world/middleeast/how-hamas-leader-haniyeh-killed-iran-bomb.html

https://archive.nytimes.com/www.nytimes.com/interactive/2012/06/01/world/middleeast/how-a-secret-cyberwar-program-worked.html?hp

https://www.wsj.com/finance/investing/bill-ackman-pulls-investment-fund-ipo-after-shrinking-its-size-85ba1a17

(0:00) Bestie intros: Nostracanis appears!

(3:50) Wiz turns down Google's $23B offer, intends to IPO

(13:30) CrowdStrike's rough week

(17:51) Market update: Mag 7 sell-off?

(22:47) Sam Altman's UBI study was a mixed bag

(42:02) Succession IRL: Rupert Murdoch's children are in a legal battle over the future of his media empire

(48:35) Biden out, Kamala in: Hot swap complete, speed-run primary subverted

(1:03:08) Antisemitism rising, Josh Shapiro as a VP candidate

(1:08:37) Sacks responds to smear campaign

(1:26:46) Science Corner: China's nuclear buildout

Follow the besties:

https://twitter.com/chamath

https://twitter.com/Jason

https://twitter.com/DavidSacks

https://twitter.com/friedberg

Follow on X:

https://twitter.com/theallinpod

Follow on Instagram:

https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod

Follow on TikTok:

https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod

Follow on LinkedIn:

https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod

Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://www.cnbc.com/2024/07/23/google-wiz-deal-dead.html

https://cloudedjudgement.substack.com/p/clouded-judgement-71924-big-tech

https://www.cnbc.com/2024/07/12/snowflake-shares-slip-after-att-says-hackers-accessed-data.html

https://arstechnica.com/information-technology/2024/07/crowdstrike-blames-testing-bugs-for-security-update-that-took-down-8-5m-windows-pcs

https://www.crowdstrike.com/blog/falcon-update-for-windows-hosts-technical-details

https://www.cnn.com/2024/07/23/business/delta-flight-cancellations/index.html

https://www.google.com/finance/quote/CRWD:NASDAQ

https://www.google.com/finance/quote/SPY:NYSEARCA

https://www.google.com/finance/quote/TSLA:NASDAQ

https://www.cnbc.com/2024/07/23/alphabet-set-to-report-q2-earnings-results-after-the-bell.html

https://www.google.com/finance/quote/VIX:INDEXCBOE

https://public.websites.umich.edu/~mille/ORUS_Health.pdf

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/07/24/business/media/rupert-murdoch-succession-fox.html

https://apnews.com/article/fox-news-dominion-lawsuit-trial-trump-2020-0ac71f75acfacc52ea80b3e747fb0afe

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/07/22/us/politics/kamala-harris-democrats-endorsement-list.html

https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7057/Who-will-win-the-2024-Democratic-presidential-nomination

https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4790684-kamala-harris-polls-donald-trump-wisconsin

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/07/05/us/politics/biden-interview-stephanopoulos-abc.html

https://www.politico.com/news/2024/07/03/biden-no-ones-pushing-me-out-00166497

https://www.axios.com/2024/07/23/inside-harris-sprint-democratic-nomination

https://www.politico.com/news/2024/07/21/why-biden-dropped-out-00170106

https://apnews.com/article/biden-election-trump-democrats-329071c25dfaaae583b5f06184586267

https://x.com/JoeBiden/status/1815080881981190320

https://x.com/paulg/status/1816334112086712830

https://x.com/paulg/status/1771640321446683060

https://www.sec.gov/files/litigation/admin/2017/33-10429.pdf

https://x.com/mwseibel/status/1816542692727488784

(0:00) Bestie intros: Live from the RNC!

(1:34) Reacting to the assassination attempt against President Trump

(12:52) Impact of charged rhetoric

(21:15) Secret Service's massive failure; institutional decay

(37:02) Inside the RNC: Sacks breaks down his speech

(41:16) Trump picks JD Vance as his running mate

(58:52) All-In Summit scholarship applications are LIVE!

(59:46) VC update: Exits creeping back, Sequoia's secondary offering for Stripe, Google in talks to acquire Wiz for $23B

Apply for the All-In Summit:

https://summit.allinpodcast.co

Follow the besties:

https://twitter.com/chamath

https://twitter.com/Jason

https://twitter.com/DavidSacks

https://twitter.com/friedberg

Follow on X:

https://twitter.com/theallinpod

Follow on Instagram:

https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod

Follow on TikTok:

https://www.tiktok.com/@all_in_tok

Follow on LinkedIn:

https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod

Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

Sacks RNC speech:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rLArznk0Ns4

Jason's links (16:34):

https://pt.icct.nl/article/donald-trump-aggressive-rhetoric-and-political-violence

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2019/08/11/business/media/el-paso-killer-conservative-media.html

https://www.vice.com/en/article/wx83v4/even-trumps-defense-secretary-during-the-capitol-riot-blames-him-for-inciting-it

Referenced in the show:

https://www.foxnews.com/us/trumps-attempted-assassin-posted-message-before-shooting-july-13-my-premiere-watch-unfolds

https://abcnews.go.com/US/trump-assassination-attempt-investigation-continues-new-details/story?id=112020474

https://x.com/TeslaVee/status/1813785645472690479

https://www.cnn.com/2024/02/08/politics/fact-check-trump-january-6/index.html

https://x.com/DylanByers/status/1811855698566975936

https://x.com/newrepublic/status/1810009748697448541

https://pt.icct.nl/sites/default/files/import/pdf/nacos-et-al.pdf

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2019/08/11/business/media/el-paso-killer-conservative-media.html

https://www.vice.com/en/article/wx83v4/even-trumps-defense-secretary-during-the-capitol-riot-blames-him-for-inciting-it

https://apnews.com/article/trump-rubio-vance-burgum-scott-stefanik-vp-11ec39b0da11152ad110ff987d4eaeee

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pot7R0Affjs

https://x.com/cb_doge/status/1813289249288134660

https://x.com/mualphaxi/status/1812579998735491327

https://x.com/DavidSacks/status/1813270784942494110

https://theintercept.com/2022/07/14/jan-6-texts-deleted-secret-service

https://x.com/yashar/status/1813757637584134615

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/07/16/us/politics/trump-vance-vp-decision.html

https://x.com/VivekGRamaswamy/status/1812929198433964249

https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2024/07/17/peter-thiel-boosted-jd-vance-career/74397520007

https://x.com/RitaPanahi/status/1813790835332595863

https://x.com/RWTNews/status/1813779819697725669

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h4FnpoNU8AI

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Xejs4gGUpjE

https://www.axios.com/2024/07/15/sequoia-capital-stripe

https://www.wsj.com/business/deals/google-near-23-billion-deal-for-cybersecurity-startup-wiz-622edf1a

https://pitchbook.com/news/reports/q2-2024-pitchbook-nvca-venture-monitor-first-look

https://www.axios.com/2024/07/18/president-biden-drop-out-election-democrats

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XJP2zlH2nt8

https://www.semafor.com/article/07/17/2024/donors-cash-is-drying-up-jeffrey-katzenberg-warns-biden-in-private-meeting

(0:00) Bestie intros!

(4:29) Macro picture: Soft landing secured? Rate cut on the horizon? Plus: partisan economic perception

(20:48) AI sentiment turns bearish due to massive spend with little revenue

(40:51) A16Z's 20K GPU cluster

(46:41) Broad implications of France elections

(1:06:10) Hot swap update: President Biden holds firm as backers flee, press corps chaos, speed-run primary chances

Apply for All-In Summit: https://summit.allinpodcast.co

Follow the besties:

https://twitter.com/chamath

https://twitter.com/Jason

https://twitter.com/DavidSacks

https://twitter.com/friedberg

Follow on X:

https://twitter.com/theallinpod

Follow on Instagram:

https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod

Follow on TikTok:

https://www.tiktok.com/@all_in_tok

Follow on LinkedIn:

https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod

Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://x.com/teddyschleifer/status/1811423421861113915

https://www.cnbc.com/2024/07/11/cpi-inflation-report-june-2024.html

https://www.barrons.com/livecoverage/stock-market-today-071124/card/odds-of-a-september-rate-cut-jump-as-inflation-cools-Du34tNx5OPXwQpXrKTT2

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/UNRATE

https://www.google.com/finance/quote/SPY:NYSEARCA

https://ycharts.com/indicators/sp_500_pe_ratio

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/cbs-news-poll-analysis-americans-rate-economy-partisan-lens

https://www.morningstar.com/news/marketwatch/20240709188/heres-how-far-the-dow-has-fallen-behind-the-sp-500-so-far-in-2024

https://youtu.be/R6hJh-OwoZw

https://www.sequoiacap.com/article/ais-600b-question

https://www.goldmansachs.com/intelligence/pages/gs-research/gen-ai-too-much-spend-too-little-benefit/report.pdf

https://www.theinformation.com/articles/andreessen-horowitz-is-building-a-stash-of-more-than-20-000-gpus-to-win-ai-deals

https://x.com/natfriedman/status/1668650915505803266

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-13594307/french-election-candidates-drop-rn-le-pen-victory.html

https://x.com/CilComLFC/status/1810110921383010563

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/07/10/opinion/joe-biden-democratic-nominee.html

https://www.politico.com/newsletters/playbook/2024/07/11/what-obama-and-pelosi-are-doing-about-biden-00167520

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/disastrous-biden-campaign-fundraising-takes-major-hit-rcna161214

https://x.com/greenfield64/status/1811199262350532767

https://x.com/Olivianuzzi/status/1808924240529535352

https://x.com/peterjhasson/status/1811052411584164210

https://youtu.be/kOeARghNIaY

https://www.semafor.com/article/07/07/2024/blitz-primary-could-open-up-democratic-race-if-biden-drops-out

(0:00) New format: The All-In Interview!

(0:59) Jonathan Haidt joins Jason and Friedberg: broader themes of his work, gamification and supercharged social media

(12:39) Understanding how humans are wired from an evolutionary biology perspective

(27:22) Haidt's proposals to help younger generations

(33:12) Linking themes and trends in Haidt's books with recent college protests

(48:17) Explaining traditional liberalism and conservatism

(56:55) Lightning Round: Parenting tips, Gen Z employees

Jonathan's website:

https://jonathanhaidt.com

Buy The Anxious Generation:

https://www.anxiousgeneration.com/book

Follow the besties:

https://twitter.com/chamath

https://twitter.com/Jason

https://twitter.com/DavidSacks

https://twitter.com/friedberg

Follow on X:

https://twitter.com/theallinpod

Follow on Instagram:

https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod

Follow on TikTok:

https://www.tiktok.com/@all_in_tok

Follow on LinkedIn:

https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod

Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://www.anxiousgeneration.com/take-action

https://www.azquotes.com/quote/1385350

https://www.azquotes.com/quote/926752

https://www.thecoddling.com/chapter-1-antifragility

https://www.anxiousgeneration.com

https://www.afterbabel.com

https://letgrow.org

(0:00) Bestie Intros!

(5:51) Democrats and their donors are falling out; President Biden to resign? Will VP Harris be the nominee?

(26:22) Cognitive decline coverup, Bestie strategy for Dems

(34:38) SCOTUS clarifies social media moderation

(47:06) SCOTUS overturns Chevron, limiting the power of federal agencies

(1:00:03) SCOTUS to hear case on restricting online porn in Texas

(1:05:27) SCOTUS rules in favor of President Trump in immunity case

Join/host a meetup: https://app.getriver.io/all-in

Apply for All-In Summit: https://summit.allinpodcast.co

Follow the besties:

https://twitter.com/chamath

https://twitter.com/Jason

https://twitter.com/DavidSacks

https://twitter.com/friedberg

Follow on X:

https://twitter.com/theallinpod

Follow on Instagram:

https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod

Follow on TikTok:

https://www.tiktok.com/@all_in_tok

Follow on LinkedIn:

https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod

Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7057/Who-will-win-the-2024-Democratic-presidential-nomination

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/07/03/us/politics/biden-withdraw-election-debate.html

https://polymarket.com/event/will-biden-drop-out-of-presidential-race?tid=1720024531014

https://www.newsweek.com/putin-houthis-cruise-missiles-russia-yemen-1919434

https://www.ft.com/content/d431b97f-7431-4066-bd80-9dab3b215fea

https://www.axios.com/2024/06/30/top-aides-shielded-biden-white-house-debate

https://www.foxnews.com/media/stephanopoulos-snaps-nikki-haley-saying-biden-wont-finish-term-excuse-me-how-do-you-know

https://x.com/TheKevinDalton/status/1806669560852218045

https://x.com/0rf/status/1807620571934478683

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/supreme-court-social-media-laws-florida-texas

https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/23pdf/22-277_d18f.pdf

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/supreme-court/supreme-court-justice-voting-decisions-2024-rcna151268

https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/23pdf/22-451_7m58.pdf

https://www.scotusblog.com/2024/06/supreme-court-strikes-down-chevron-curtailing-power-of-federal-agencies

https://www.reuters.com/legal/us-supreme-court-hear-challenge-texas-age-verification-online-porn-2024-07-02

https://x.com/noalpha_allbeta/status/1808265251202167183

https://x.com/ewarren/status/1808241509738631388

https://www.axios.com/2019/06/01/supreme-court-justices-ideology

https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2024/06/02/supreme-court-justice-math-00152188

https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/23pdf/23-939_e2pg.pdf

https://www.scotusblog.com/2024/07/justices-rule-trump-has-some-immunity-from-prosecution

https://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/qanon-shaman-sentenced-3-years-role-capitol-riot-rcna5825

https://x.com/unusual_whales/status/1808558981457326368

(0:00) Bestie intros!

(1:54) Debate recap and analysis: Hot swap incoming?

(16:53) Subverting democracy, power grab, Democratic party shakeup

(36:43) Why tech job postings are down significantly from pre-COVID levels

(42:43) OpenAI considering for-profit conversion

(54:11) The problem with safety-focused AI startups

(1:03:20) EU charges Microsoft with antitrust violations for bundling Teams into Office

Follow the besties:

https://twitter.com/chamath

https://twitter.com/Jason

https://twitter.com/DavidSacks

https://twitter.com/friedberg

Follow on X:

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Follow on Instagram:

https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod

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Follow on LinkedIn:

https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod

Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7057/Who-will-win-the-2024-Democratic-presidential-nomination

https://polymarket.com/event/will-biden-drop-out-of-presidential-race?tid=1719589320811

https://youtu.be/R6hJh-OwoZw

https://x.com/KellyO/status/1806505436457189594

https://x.com/WesternLensman/status/1806660589315658003

https://x.com/stoolpresidente/status/1806496453545586779

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/IHLIDXUSTPSOFTDEVE

https://www.theinformation.com/articles/openai-ceo-says-company-could-become-benefit-corporation-akin-to-rivals-anthropic-xai

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-06-19/openai-co-founder-plans-new-ai-focused-research-lab

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YMnkqY98Cyo

https://x.com/benioff/status/1805664701298491623

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CwQMMzoeH9s

https://x.com/JoeBiden/status/1806739920255320347

(0:00) Bestie intros: Big house talk!

(1:37) Economy: Regulation, taxes, tariffs, taming inflation, de-dollarization

(12:02) Federal debt: growth, spend control, where to cut, role of energy, nuclear

(20:22) Foreign policy: Ukraine/Russia

(25:05) Foreign policy: Israel/Palestine

(28:13) Abortion: Stance on a national ban

(31:09) Foreign policy: China

(32:33) COVID: Origins, Fauci relationship, deep state, bad deals

(39:39) Border: Wall, immigration, H-1Bs, recruiting global talent

(46:07) JFK Files: Full release, importance of transparency

(48:06) Debate prediction

(50:15) Post-interview debrief

Follow the besties:

https://twitter.com/chamath

https://twitter.com/Jason

https://twitter.com/DavidSacks

https://twitter.com/friedberg

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https://www.tiktok.com/@all_in_tok

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https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod

Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://x.com/tyler/status/1803872859938549920

https://x.com/cameron/status/1803876953860247831

https://x.com/LHSummers/status/1802097688269181436

https://x.com/davidsacks/status/179888324567070746

(0:00) Bestie intros: bringing up the energy!

(8:48) Trump fundraiser recap

(23:16) Elon's comp package approved by shareholders

(40:12) Apple announces "Apple Intelligence" and ChatGPT deal at WWDC

(50:17) OpenAI reportedly hits a $3.4B revenue run rate

(1:05:26) Macro debate: State of the US economy?

Follow Tim Naki:

https://www.instagram.com/tim.naki

Follow the besties:

https://twitter.com/chamath

https://twitter.com/Jason

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Follow on X:

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Follow on Instagram:

https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod

Follow on TikTok:

https://www.tiktok.com/@all_in_tok

Follow on LinkedIn:

https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod

Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://www.instagram.com/tim.naki

https://x.com/eoghan/status/1799161733766062545

https://x.com/bennyjohnson/status/1800979079472288145

https://x.com/bennyjohnson/status/1797086962626494840

https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1801084780035154058

https://x.com/jhall/status/1795794521604718814

https://fortune.com/2024/06/10/elon-musk-pay-package-tesla-lawyers-delaware-chancery-payout-stock-award-56-billion

https://companiesmarketcap.com

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RXeOiIDNNek

https://x.com/chiefaioffice/status/1801022115426009309

https://trends.google.com/trends/explore?geo=US&q=%2Fg%2F11khcfz0y2&hl=en

https://trends.google.com/trends/explore?q=%2Fg%2F11khcfz0y2&hl=en

https://www.bls.gov/charts/consumer-price-index/consumer-price-index-by-category-line-chart.htm

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FEDFUNDS

https://www.jpmorgan.com/insights/outlook/economic-outlook/jobs-report-may-2024

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CES0500000003

https://www.warren.senate.gov/imo/media/doc/2024.06.10%20Letter%20to%20Fed.%20re%20interest%20rates.pdf

https://www.cnbc.com/2024/06/07/jobs-report-may-2024-us-job-gains-totaled-272000-in-may.html

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTSJOL

https://x.com/VinnyLingham/status/1801129023168454907

https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1aw5bbb/world_economy_on_nvidias_shoulders

https://www.instagram.com/stocktradingmemes/p/C3qer-sSfb0/?img_index=1

https://x.com/jameslavish/status/1801248976911634648

https://x.com/peterfenton/status/1801300735520608529

(0:00) Besties intros!

(2:10) Responding to recent media coverage

(17:58) DOJ/FTC strike deal to target Nvidia, OpenAI, and Microsoft

(32:40) Meme stocks are back: Keith Gill aka Roaring Kitty resurfaces, disclosing nine figure position in GameStop

(58:36) Citadel and BlackRock back TXSE to take on NYSE and Nasdaq

(1:02:34) Apple to announce OpenAI iPhone deal at WWDC

(1:09:07) Science Corner: Alarming ocean temps continue, what to expect for hurricane season

Follow the besties:

https://twitter.com/chamath

https://twitter.com/Jason

https://twitter.com/DavidSacks

https://twitter.com/friedberg

Follow on X:

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Follow on Instagram:

https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod

Follow on TikTok:

https://www.tiktok.com/@all_in_tok

Follow on LinkedIn:

https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod

Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dQQhAg0mfF8

https://x.com/vkhosla/status/1769529054955446533

https://x.com/vkhosla/status/1796293773389127987

https://x.com/shaunmmaguire/status/1796415146077954329

https://x.com/DavidSacks/status/1798100723617698097

https://x.com/SawyerMerritt/status/1798779830521000426

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/06/05/technology/nvidia-microsoft-openai-antitrust-doj-ftc.html

https://www.wsj.com/tech/ai/ftc-opens-antitrust-probe-of-microsoft-ai-deal-29b5169a

https://companiesmarketcap.com

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=F9cO3-MLHOM

https://www.politico.com/news/2024/05/29/newsom-california-artifical-intelligence-regulations-00160519

https://www.reddit.com/user/DeepFuckingValue

https://www.wsj.com/finance/regulation/e-trade-considers-kicking-meme-stock-leader-keith-gill-off-platform-f2003ec4

https://x.com/TheRoaringKitty/status/1789807772542067105

https://www.google.com/finance/quote/GME:NYSE

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M-VO6dtFRes

https://www.wsj.com/finance/regulation/keith-gills-gamestop-trades-pose-conundrum-for-market-cops-70cc5301

https://www.macrotrends.net/stocks/charts/GME/gamestop/revenue

https://www.wsj.com/finance/stocks/gamestop-burned-andrew-left-in-2021-hes-betting-against-the-stock-again-4377cecb

https://www.nytimes.com/2022/05/18/business/melvin-capital-gamestop-short.html

https://www.instagram.com/tim.naki/reels

https://www.wsj.com/finance/regulation/new-texas-stock-exchange-takes-aim-at-new-yorks-dominance-e3b4d9ba

https://listingcenter.nasdaq.com/assets/Board%20Diversity%20Disclosure%20Five%20Things.pdf

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-06-05/why-is-apple-aapl-teaming-up-with-openai-both-companies-need-each-other

https://x.com/leonsimons8/status/1793319395080520036

(0:00) Bestie Intros: Jason's first show for his new production company

(2:15) Why Sacks and Chamath are hosting a Trump fundraiser

(18:40) House COVID investigation: findings, cover-up, what's next?

(41:36) The Deep State Problem: unelected bureaucrats running three letter agencies for decades

(53:04) Crypto Corner with Chamath

(1:04:15) State of SaaS: Salesforce drops 20%, market teetering

(1:20:10) Trump verdict: guilty on 34 counts of falsifying business records

(1:37:36) Are we seeing an AI correction?

Follow the besties:

https://twitter.com/chamath

https://twitter.com/Jason

https://twitter.com/DavidSacks

https://twitter.com/friedberg

Follow on X:

https://twitter.com/theallinpod

Follow on Instagram:

https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod

Follow on TikTok:

https://www.tiktok.com/@all_in_tok

Follow on LinkedIn:

https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod

Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://oversight.house.gov/release/new-select-subcommittee-report-recommends-ecohealth-alliance-president-debarred-and-criminally-investigated-exposes-failures-in-nih-grant-procedures

https://oversight.house.gov/release/hearing-wrap-up-nih-repeatedly-refutes-ecohealth-alliance-president-dr-peter-daszaks-testimony-tabak-testimony-reveals-federal-grant-procedures-in-need-of-serious-reform

https://www.axios.com/2021/07/20/fauci-rand-paul-wuhan-institute

https://oversight.house.gov/release/breaking-hhs-suspends-funding-and-proposes-formal-debarment-of-ecohealth-alliance-cites-evidence-from-covid-select-report

https://oversight.house.gov/release/breaking-hhs-to-debar-dr-peter-daszak-president-of-ecohealth-alliance

https://x.com/emilyakopp/status/1795482121739354552

https://x.com/R_H_Ebright/status/1795454118594568312

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jGxSlW0NrB4

https://www.cidrap.umn.edu/dual-use-research/feds-lift-gain-function-research-pause-offer-guidance

https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/a-flu-virus-risk-worth-taking/2011/12/30/gIQAM9sNRP_story.html

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3484390

https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(20)30418-9/fulltext

https://oversight.house.gov/release/new-covid-select-memo-details-allegations-of-wrongdoing-and-illegal-activity-by-dr-faucis-senior-scientific-advisor

https://fiscaldata.treasury.gov/americas-finance-guide/national-deficit

https://x.com/KatherineEban

https://x.com/emilyakopp

https://www.semafor.com/article/05/28/2024/a-dying-empire-led-by-bad-people-poll-finds-young-voters-despairing-over-us-politics

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nvQTXAgtA6s

https://s23.q4cdn.com/574569502/files/doc_financials/2025/q1/CRM-Q1-FY25-Earnings-Press-Release-w-financials.pdf

https://www.investors.com/news/economy/federal-reserve-core-pce-inflation-gdp-q1-jobless-claims-sp-500

https://www.nytimes.com/live/2024/05/30/nyregion/trump-trial-verdict

https://www.google.com/finance/quote/DELL:NYSE

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-05-30/us-gdp-grew-at-softer-pace-as-spending-inflation-marked-down

(0:00) Bestie intros: Recapping "General AI Hospital"

(2:46) Scarlett Johansson vs. OpenAI

(14:37) OpenAI's novel off-boarding agreements, ex-employee equity problem, and safety team resignations

(25:35) Nvidia crushes earnings again, but it faces a trillion-dollar problem

(40:05) Understanding why economic sentiment is so negative among US citizens despite positive data

(1:02:36) New study shows plastics in testicles

Follow the besties:

https://twitter.com/chamath

https://twitter.com/Jason

https://twitter.com/DavidSacks

https://twitter.com/friedberg

Follow on X:

https://twitter.com/theallinpod

Follow on Instagram:

https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod

Follow on TikTok:

https://www.tiktok.com/@all_in_tok

Follow on LinkedIn:

https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod

Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://x.com/BobbyAllyn/status/1792679435701014908

https://x.com/sama/status/1790075827666796666

https://openai.com/index/how-the-voices-for-chatgpt-were-chosen

https://www.washingtonpost.com/technology/2024/05/22/openai-scarlett-johansson-chatgpt-ai-voice

https://x.com/SydSteyerhart/status/1792981291266138531

https://www.vox.com/future-perfect/351132/openai-vested-equity-nda-sam-altman-documents-employees

https://x.com/sama/status/1791936857594581428

https://x.com/ilyasut/status/1790517455628198322

https://x.com/janleike/status/1790603862132596961

https://x.com/janleike/status/1791498184671605209

https://openai.com/index/openai-announces-leadership-transition

https://nvidianews.nvidia.com/news/nvidia-announces-financial-results-for-first-quarter-fiscal-2025

https://www.google.com/finance/quote/INTC:NASDAQ

https://www.morningstar.com/stocks/nvidia-2023-vs-cisco-1999-will-history-repeat

https://www.fool.com/investing/2024/03/06/is-nvidia-doomed-to-be-the-next-cisco-what-investo

https://www.elitetrader.com/et/threads/nvidia-and-the-cautionary-tale-of-cisco-systems.379022

https://chamath.substack.com/p/2023-annual-letter

https://www.forbes.com/sites/theapothecary/2024/03/23/summers-inflation-reached-18-in-2022-using-the-governments-previous-formula

https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/article/2024/may/22/poll-economy-recession-biden

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CCLACBW027SBOG

https://x.com/KariLake/status/1792986501820850333

https://www.stlouisfed.org/on-the-economy/2024/apr/how-big-mac-index-relates-overall-consumer-inflation

https://www.google.com/finance/quote/MCD:NYSE

https://www.wsj.com/economy/gdp-and-the-dow-are-up-but-what-about-american-well-being-87f90e6d

https://www.consumerreports.org/health/food-contaminants/the-plastic-chemicals-hiding-in-your-food-a7358224781

https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/j.1365-2605.2007.00837.x

https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/12708228

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7559247

https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/21524797

https://academic.oup.com/toxsci/advance-article/doi/10.1093/toxsci/kfae060/7673133

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o6yuYkfNh-k

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EYQjShJxCtM

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=r_4jrMwvZ2A

(0:00) Bestie Intros: Recapping Phil Hellmuth's birthday weekend

(7:38) OpenAI launches GPT-4o: better, faster, cheaper

(29:40) Sacks demos Glue: How AI unlocked his Slack killer

(40:12) Friedberg walks through his major breakthrough at Ohalo

(1:01:35) Stanley Druckenmiller bets on Argentina and Javier Milei: strategy, roadmap for the US

(1:13:54) Jason's bet on Athena, how AI will change company building

(1:22:21) Google launches AI summaries in search

Follow the besties:

https://twitter.com/chamath

https://twitter.com/Jason

https://twitter.com/DavidSacks

https://twitter.com/friedberg

Follow on X:

https://twitter.com/theallinpod

Follow on Instagram:

https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod

Follow on TikTok:

https://www.tiktok.com/@all_in_tok

Follow on LinkedIn:

https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod

Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://www.pokernews.com/news/2024/05/phil-hellmuth-60th-birthday-bash-las-vegas-45984.htm

https://x.com/OpenAI/status/1790130703721521305

https://x.com/OpenAI/status/1790089513387143469

https://crfm.stanford.edu/helm/mmlu/v1.3.0/#

https://www.businessinsider.com/inflection-implosion-chatgpt-stall-ai-consumer-chatbot-problem-2024-3

https://www.opencompute.org

https://glue.ai

https://ragie.ai

https://ohalo.com

https://www.cnbc.com/2024/05/07/cnbc-exclusive-cnbc-transcript-billionaire-investor-stanley-druckenmiller-speaks-with-cnbcs-squawk-box-today.html

https://www.forbes.com/sites/theapothecary/2024/03/23/summers-inflation-reached-18-in-2022-using-the-governments-previous-formula

https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1378034932006592512

https://www.athenawow.com/jcal

https://calacanis.substack.com/p/startup-productivity-in-the-age-of

https://blog.google/products/search/generative-ai-google-search-may-2024

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XEzRZ35urlk

https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/GOOG

https://startuptalky.com/apple-failed-products

(0:00) Welcoming Sam Altman to the show!

(2:28) What's next for OpenAI: GPT-5, open-source, reasoning, what an AI-powered iPhone competitor could look like, and more

(21:56) How advanced agents will change the way we interface with apps

(33:01) Fair use, creator rights, why OpenAI has stayed away from the music industry

(42:02) AI regulation, UBI in a post-AI world

(52:23) Sam breaks down how he was fired and re-hired, why he has no equity, dealmaking on behalf of OpenAI, and how he organizes the company

(1:05:33) Post-interview recap

(1:10:38) All-In Summit announcements, college protests

(1:19:06) Signs of innovation dying at Apple: iPad ad, Buffett sells 100M+ shares, what's next?

(1:29:41) Google unveils AlphaFold 3.0

Follow Sam:

https://twitter.com/sama

Follow the besties:

https://twitter.com/chamath

https://twitter.com/Jason

https://twitter.com/DavidSacks

https://twitter.com/friedberg

Follow on X:

https://twitter.com/theallinpod

Follow on Instagram:

https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod

Follow on TikTok:

https://www.tiktok.com/@all_in_tok

Follow on LinkedIn:

https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod

Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://twitter.com/EconomyApp/status/1622029832099082241

https://sacra.com/c/openai

https://twitter.com/tim_cook/status/1787864325258162239

https://openai.com/index/introducing-the-model-spec

https://twitter.com/SabriSun_Miller/status/1788298123434938738

https://www.archives.gov/founding-docs/bill-of-rights-transcript

https://twitter.com/ClayTravis/status/1788312545754825091

https://www.inc.com/bill-murphy-jr/warren-buffett-just-sold-more-than-100-million-shares-of-apple-reason-why-is-eye-opening.html

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=snbTCWL6rxo

https://www.digitimes.com/news/a20240506PD216/apple-ev-startup-genai.html

https://www.theonion.com/fuck-everything-were-doing-five-blades-1819584036

https://blog.google/technology/ai/google-deepmind-isomorphic-alphafold-3-ai-model

(0:00) Welcoming Sheryl Sandberg and remembering Dave Goldberg

(11:10) What led Sheryl to get involved with "Screams Before Silence"; reaction to sexual violence on and after 10/7

(28:18) Paths forward, documentary decisions, involvement of women in protests

(53:03) Post-interview debrief

(59:45) Science Corner: Open-source AI gene editing with OpenCRISPR-1

Follow Sheryl:

https://twitter.com/sherylsandberg

Watch Screams Before Silence:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zAr9oGSXgak&rco=1

Follow the besties:

https://twitter.com/chamath

https://twitter.com/Jason

https://twitter.com/DavidSacks

https://twitter.com/friedberg

Follow on X:

https://twitter.com/theallinpod

Follow on Instagram:

https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod

Follow on TikTok:

https://www.tiktok.com/@all_in_tok

Follow on LinkedIn:

https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod

Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://twitter.com/fakechamath

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zAr9oGSXgak&rco=1

https://www.cnn.com/2023/11/20/opinions/sheryl-sandberg-something-we-can-all-agree-on/index.html

https://news.un.org/en/story/2024/03/1147477

https://thegrayzone.com/2024/03/07/media-concocts-un-hamas-rape-report/amp/

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/01/29/world/middleeast/israel-hamas-sexual-violence-un.html

https://github.com/Profluent-AI/OpenCRISPR

(0:00) Bestie Intros: Reservation Tips!

(5:20) Meta goes scorched earth in AI, why the stock was down despite beating on earnings

(22:20) Tesla's roadmap, ranking the company's highest-upside bets outside of cars for the next 10 years

(47:25) FTC bans noncompetes: impact on startups and company formation

(1:00:33) Besties reminisce on their encounters with Steve Jobs

(1:10:25) TikTok "divest-or-ban" bill is signed into law: Will China comply? What's it worth without the algorithm? Will a deal get done?

(1:27:22) Biden's proposed capital gains hikes and a 25% wealth tax for those with $100M+ in assets

Follow the besties:

https://twitter.com/chamath

https://twitter.com/Jason

https://twitter.com/DavidSacks

https://twitter.com/friedberg

Follow on X:

https://twitter.com/theallinpod

Follow on Instagram:

https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod

Follow on TikTok:

https://www.tiktok.com/@all_in_tok

Follow on LinkedIn:

https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod

Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://ai.meta.com/blog/meta-llama-3

https://huggingface.co/meta-llama/Meta-Llama-3-8B

https://about.fb.com/news/2024/04/introducing-our-open-mixed-reality-ecosystem

https://about.fb.com/news/2024/04/meta-ai-assistant-built-with-llama-3

https://www.cnn.com/2024/04/25/investing/meta-stock-plunges-ai-spending/index.html

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kiMTRQXBol0

https://twitter.com/AravSrinivas/status/1781099224169320500

https://wow.groq.com/12-hours-later-groq-is-running-llama-3-instruct-8-70b-by-meta-ai-on-its-lpu-inference-enginge

https://twitter.com/lauramaywendel/status/1782040453266710551

https://twitter.com/naveengrao/status/1781491370114633816

https://twitter.com/winglian/status/1783456379199484367

https://www.meta.ai

https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1780302197772952049

https://electrek.co/2024/03/16/tesla-full-self-driving-beta-v12-finally-rolls-out

https://www.reuters.com/business/autos-transportation/tesla-cuts-price-full-self-driving-software-by-third-8000-2024-04-21

https://fortune.com/2024/04/15/elon-musk-tesla-cut-10-percent-global-workforce-14000-employees-slowing-ev-demand

https://www.reuters.com/business/autos-transportation/tesla-take-shareholder-vote-shifting-incorporation-texas-musk-says-2024-02-01

https://www.ft.com/content/46aac746-4a54-437f-a0b7-9b81b154c21d

https://www.google.com/finance/quote/TSLA:NASDAQ

https://www.cnbc.com/2024/04/24/tesla-stock-up-after-elon-musk-says-new-affordable-ev-models-coming.html

https://www.tesla.com/blog/master-plan-part-deux

https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1776663647735218491

https://digitalassets.tesla.com/tesla-contents/image/upload/IR/TSLA-Q1-2024-Update.pdf

https://www.cnbc.com/2024/04/25/gdp-q1-2024-increased-at-a-1point6percent-rate.html

https://palmetto.com

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pja_n8ThDsU

https://www.fastcompany.com/90972171/cruise-suspends-driverless-vehicle-operations-in-san-francisco-after-dmv-revokes-permit

https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1777496946263134414

https://www.nytimes.com/2023/11/03/technology/cruise-general-motors-self-driving-cars.html

https://thehill.com/business/4615452-ftc-votes-to-ban-non-compete-agreements

https://www.ftc.gov/news-events/news/press-releases/2024/04/ftc-announces-rule-banning-noncompetes

https://www.techemails.com/p/steve-jobs-emails-adobes-ceo

https://venturebeat.com/business/how-steve-jobs-felt-betrayed-by-eric-schmidt-over-googles-android

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CWOt9Cjq2mw

https://www.theverge.com/2024/4/24/24139036/biden-signs-tiktok-ban-bill-divest-foreign-aid-package

https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/senate-returns-95b-foreign-aid-package-ukraine-israel/story?id=109506150

https://www.cnbc.com/2023/12/06/tiktok-parent-bytedance-offers-share-buyback-at-268-billion-valuation.html

https://www.theinformation.com/articles/bytedance-exploring-scenarios-for-selling-tiktok-without-algorithm?rc=pxkrxo

https://www.aclu.org/press-releases/senate-reauthorizes-and-expands-section-702-surveillance

https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1783220583075111401

https://www.wsj.com/tech/tiktok-ban-chinese-owners-bytedance-1a857a06

https://x.com/MsMelChen/status/1783524423963697262

https://x.com/Jason/status/1783556155924705388

https://x.com/Jason/status/1783604248569360516

https://www.atr.org/biden-calls-for-44-6-capital-gains-tax-rate-highest-capital-gains-tax-since-its-creation-in-1922

https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/131/General-Explanations-FY2025.pdf

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-04-24/tax-on-rich-to-save-social-security-popular-with-swing-state-voters-poll

https://balajis.com/p/all-it-takes-is-all-you-got

https://twitter.com/maceskridge/status/1783290784311058788

(0:00) Bestie Intros: Chamath recaps the Breakthrough Prize Ceremony, "High IQ foods"

(9:49) All-In Summit update, Poker styles of Andrew Robl, Jason Koon, and Phil Hellmuth  

(14:38) Google fires protestors

(35:08) Chaos and culture wars at NPR

(40:43) Humane's AI Pin: Marques Brownlee's review, the Ex-Apple issue, polarizing reactions

(1:02:28) Startup tax crisis: How a recent provision upended R&D deductions

(1:12:39) Sports betting scandal: NBA player Jontay Porter banned for life, explosion of sports betting in the US

(1:23:33) How to get better at chess, childhood Bestie schemes

Follow the besties:

https://twitter.com/chamath

https://twitter.com/Jason

https://twitter.com/DavidSacks

https://twitter.com/friedberg

Follow on X:

https://twitter.com/theallinpod

Follow on Instagram:

https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod

Follow on TikTok:

https://www.tiktok.com/@all_in_tok

Follow on LinkedIn:

https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod

Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://twitter.com/NoTechApartheid/status/1780278895058518468

https://www.cnbc.com/2024/04/17/google-workers-arrested-after-nine-hour-protest-in-google-cloud-ceos-office.html

https://www.notechforapartheid.com

https://www.theverge.com/2024/4/17/24133700/google-fires-28-employees-protest-israel-cloud-contract

https://twitter.com/CollinRugg/status/1779914595156808045

https://www.haaretz.com/israel-news/2024-04-11/ty-article-magazine/.premium/saying-what-cant-be-said-israel-has-been-defeated-a-total-defeat/0000018e-cdab-dba9-a78e-efef6ba10000

https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/israel-wins-gaza-battles-but-risks-losing-the-war-c6a3823f

https://www.cnn.com/2024/01/19/middleeast/eisenkot-netanyahu-israel-war-politics-gaza-intl/index.html

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3-APSXZy9UI

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/04/02/world/middleeast/israel-gaza-aid-workers-killed.html

https://www.haaretz.com/israel-news/2024-03-31/ty-article-magazine/.premium/israel-created-kill-zones-in-gaza-anyone-who-crosses-into-them-is-shot/0000018e-946c-d4de-afee-f46da9ee0000

https://www.haaretz.com/israel-news/2023-12-15/ty-article/.premium/israeli-army-says-killed-three-hostages-mistakenly-identified-as-threat-in-northern-gaza/0000018c-6edd-dbd5-a39c-ffff08470000

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/02/06/world/middleeast/israel-idf-soldiers-war-social-media-video.html

https://twitter.com/JustStop_Oil/status/1580883249228046336

https://www.npr.org/2024/01/24/1226035539/npr-ceo-katherine-maher-wikimedia

https://www.npr.org/about-npr/178659563/our-mission-and-vision

https://www.thefp.com/p/npr-editor-how-npr-lost-americas-trust

https://www.npr.org/sections/npr-extra/2024/04/12/1244456600/from-npr-president-and-ceo-katherine-maher-thoughts-on-our-mission-and-our-work

https://twitter.com/realchrisrufo

https://twitter.com/wokal_distance/status/1780695504210567335

https://www.theinformation.com/articles/has-humane-created-the-next-iphone-or-the-next-google-glass

https://humane.com

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TitZV6k8zfA

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6xWXRk3yaSw

https://www.amazon.com/Anxious-Generation-Rewiring-Childhood-Epidemic/dp/0593655036

https://www.amazon.com/Nexus-Trilogy-Book-1-ebook/dp/B00TOZI7FM

https://www.amazon.com/Bad-Therapy-Kids-Arent-Growing/dp/0593542924

https://www.wsj.com/sports/basketball/jontay-porter-banned-gambling-5dd9c1a8

https://nypost.com/2024/04/17/sports/how-jontay-porter-orchestrated-failed-nba-gambling-scandal

https://dknetwork.draftkings.com/2024/1/31/24054415/lebron-james-joins-draftkings-football-sports

https://www.espn.com/espn/betting/story/_/id/39563784/sports-betting-industry-posts-record-11b-2023-revenue

https://www.espn.com/nba/story/_/id/38386013/how-nba-new-rules-resting-stars-work

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=U2huVf1l4UE

Register for the All-In Summit: https://summit.allinpodcast.co

(0:00) Bestie Intros: J-Cal is out this week!

(0:57) All-In Summit 2024 Announcement

(3:10) Nvidia's market position, Collapse of Western cities, State of the cloud market

(17:30) Inflation stays hotter than expected for the third straight month: chance of a HIKE instead of a cut?

(45:41) AI disclosure bill: important step for creators or unnecessary?

(1:06:27) Drone warfare: The future of war, Silicon Valley's defense decision

Follow the besties:

https://twitter.com/chamath

https://twitter.com/Jason

https://twitter.com/DavidSacks

https://twitter.com/friedberg

Follow on X:

https://twitter.com/theallinpod

Follow on Instagram:

https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod

Follow on TikTok:

https://www.tiktok.com/@all_in_tok

Follow on LinkedIn:

https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod

Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://summit.allinpodcast.co

https://youtu.be/FgUKIRnxrxw

https://laist.com/news/kpcc-archive/election-2014-prop-47-reduces-drug-and-property-cr

https://www.sfchronicle.com/sf/article/san-francisco-election-progressives-18699100.php

https://www.cnbc.com/2024/04/10/cpi-inflation-march-2024-consumer-prices-rose-3point5percent-from-a-year-ago-in-march.html

https://www.investing.com/economic-calendar/core-cpi-736

https://www.investing.com/economic-calendar/cpi-733

https://twitter.com/LHSummers/status/1778093870271664291

https://www.wsj.com/economy/inflation-march-cpi-report-interest-rate-239b7e5e

https://twitter.com/LHSummers/status/1762607548828360798

https://www.forbes.com/sites/theapothecary/2024/03/23/summers-inflation-reached-18-in-2022using-the-governments-previous-formula

https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1778098007625572487

https://www.city-journal.org/article/lisa-d-cooks-careless-scholarship

https://www.cnbc.com/2024/04/08/biden-will-announce-details-of-new-student-loan-forgiveness-plan.html

https://www.livemint.com/news/world/bidens-4-5-trillion-spending-plan-faces-deficit-test-11619956141365.html

https://twitter.com/unusual_whales/status/1778479545613439455

https://www.cnbc.com/2024/03/01/the-us-national-debt-is-rising-by-1-trillion-about-every-100-days.html

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FEDFUNDS

https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1777017715846455470/photo/1

https://schiff.house.gov/news/press-releases/rep-schiff-introduces-groundbreaking-bill-to-create-ai-transparency-between-creators-and-companies

https://schiff.house.gov/imo/media/doc/the_generative_ai_copyright_disclosure_act.pdf

https://www.cnbc.com/2024/04/05/billie-eilish-nicki-minaj-200-artists-sign-letter-against-ai-music.html

https://www.theverge.com/2024/4/6/24122915/openai-youtube-transcripts-gpt-4-training-data-google

https://abcnews.go.com/Entertainment/jury-reaches-verdict-ed-sheeran-copyright-infringement-case/story

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xG1vOxwgqJw

https://twitter.com/sambendett/status/1774074927437475862

https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/ukraine-produce-one-million-drones-next-year-zelenskiy-says-2023-12-19

https://www.businessinsider.com/russia-has-seven-drones-every-one-ukraine-has-army-official-2023-12

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/03/12/world/europe/ukraine-drone-russia-jamming.html

https://www.politico.com/news/2023/12/19/missile-drone-pentagon-houthi-attacks-iran-00132480

https://www.saildrone.com

https://govciomedia.com/dod-seeks-to-grow-partnerships-with-silicon-valley-startups

https://www.statista.com/statistics/1249871/share-of-the-global-lithium-ion-battery-manufacturing-capacity-by-country

https://www.militaryaerospace.com/power/article/14072339/emp-high-power-electromagnetic-weapons-railguns-microwaves

https://www.allencontrolsystems.com

https://www.allencontrolsystems.com/bullfrog

(0:00) Meet All-In's new CEO: Jon Haile!

(7:13) FTX Correction: Depositors are not getting "made whole"

(19:26) Trump Media updates

(27:12) Google considering bid to acquire HubSpot: Price, relevancy, feasible with regulators? Should Google investors be worried or excited?

(49:20) AI job loss fears go mainstream, potential for autonomous domestic robots in next five years

(1:11:17) Blinken says Ukraine will join NATO: WW3 risk, election implications

Follow the besties:

https://twitter.com/chamath

https://twitter.com/Jason

https://twitter.com/DavidSacks

https://twitter.com/friedberg

Follow on X:

https://twitter.com/theallinpod

Follow on Instagram:

https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod

Follow on TikTok:

https://www.tiktok.com/@all_in_tok

Follow on LinkedIn:

https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod

Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://www.cnbc.com/2024/03/27/sbf-team-argues-for-5-6-year-sentence-ftx-customers-to-get-money-back.html

https://www.axios.com/2024/02/06/ftx-repay-customers-creditors-investors

https://www.reuters.com/technology/ftx-gets-court-approval-sell-crypto-assets-2023-09-13

https://www.reuters.com/technology/ftx-expects-us-reduce-bankruptcy-claim-3-billion-5-billion-2024-03-21

https://www.google.com/finance/quote/DJT:NASDAQ

https://www.barrons.com/articles/djt-truth-social-trump-media-stock-price-earnings-4ad7c458

https://www.barrons.com/articles/djt-truth-social-trump-media-stock-price-today-d2249f43

https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2024/apr/03/trump-media-es-family-trust-2022-loans

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/04/03/business/trump-media-insider-trading-guilty.html

https://twitter.com/mtaibbi/status/1619029772977455105

https://nypost.com/2023/01/28/left-wing-think-tank-responsible-for-fake-russia-stories

https://www.reuters.com/markets/deals/google-parent-alphabet-weighs-offer-hubspot-sources-say-2024-04-04

https://www.macrotrends.net/stocks/charts/HUBS/hubspot/revenue

https://www.google.com/finance/quote/HUBS:NYSE

https://www.statista.com/statistics/266249/advertising-revenue-of-google

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_mergers_and_acquisitions_by_Alphabet

https://ir.hubspot.com/news/hubspot-reports-q4-and-full-year-2023-results

https://twitter.com/thedailyshow/status/1774995166778020059

https://www.klarna.com/international/press/klarna-ai-assistant-handles-two-thirds-of-customer-service-chats-in-its-first-month

https://www.forbes.com/sites/mikepatton/2014/12/30/a-historical-look-at-the-components-of-u-s-gdp-1929-to-2011

https://timesmachine.nytimes.com/timesmachine/1983/06/02/issue.html

https://m.imdb.com/name/nm0001394/mediaviewer/rm2226878976

https://twitter.com/lina_colucci/status/1775668500931268665

https://twitter.com/tsarnick/status/1748923998052975099

https://twitter.com/Figure_robot/status/1767913661253984474

https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1746964887949934958

https://www.geckorobotics.com/company/robots

https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1775926842257813910

https://www.politico.eu/article/ukraine-great-risk-front-line-collapse-war-russia

https://www.politico.eu/article/emmanuel-macron-ukraine-western-troops-remarks

https://www.state.gov/secretary-antony-j-blinken-and-ukrainian-foreign-minister-dmytro-kuleba-before-their-meeting-10

(0:00) Bestie Intros: Late night poker snacks!

(2:33) SBF sentenced to 25 years

(16:41) Trump's meme SPAC: modern trading card, protest vote, or something else?

(34:59) RFK Jr. selects Nicole Shanahan as VP

(47:46) Biden's budget plan for 2025: how to confront America's existential crisis?

(1:11:59) Science Corner: Why the price of cocoa has skyrocketed!

(1:16:41) Movie talk and wrap!

Follow the besties:

https://twitter.com/chamath

https://twitter.com/Jason

https://twitter.com/DavidSacks

https://twitter.com/friedberg

Follow on X:

https://twitter.com/theallinpod

Follow on Instagram:

https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod

Follow on TikTok:

https://www.tiktok.com/@all_in_tok

Follow on LinkedIn:

https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod

Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://www.reuters.com/technology/sam-bankman-fried-be-sentenced-multi-billion-dollar-ftx-fraud-2024-03-28

https://www.cnbc.com/2024/03/25/ftx-estate-sells-majority-stake-in-startup-anthropic-for-884-million.html

https://coingeek.com/ftx-founder-sam-bankman-fried-sentenced-to-25-years-in-prison

https://www.google.com/finance/quote/DJT:NASDAQ

https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1849635/000119312524036093/d408563ds4a.htm

https://www.sec.gov/news/press-release/2023-121

https://apnews.com/article/trump-media-gamestop-truth-social-meme-stock-666e62b4f3f788bd6276764056bc7c0d

https://www.nytimes.com/2022/05/18/business/melvin-capital-gamestop-short.html

https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/lau37c/we_can_stay_retarded_longer_than_you_can_stay

https://www.wsj.com/politics/elections/rfk-jr-to-name-nicole-shanahan-as-running-mate-for-presidential-bid-4b9a698e

https://twitter.com/CollinRugg/status/1773147897439436939

https://www.cnbc.com/2024/03/01/the-us-national-debt-is-rising-by-1-trillion-about-every-100-days.html

https://www.reuters.com/world/us/bidens-2024-us-government-budget-is-also-campaign-pitch-2024-03-11

https://www.whitehouse.gov/wp-content/uploads/2024/03/budget_fy2025.pdf

https://manhattan.institute/article/the-limits-of-taxing-the-rich

https://www.brookings.edu/wp-content/uploads/2016/06/09_effects_income_tax_changes_economic_growth_gale_sawick.pdf

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FYFRGDA188S

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FYONGDA188S

https://www.oecd.org/tax/revenue-statistics-united-states.pdf

https://www.visualcapitalist.com/inflation-chart-tracks-price-changes-us-goods-services

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/USGOVT

https://www.blackrock.com/corporate/investor-relations/larry-fink-annual-chairmans-letter

https://www.kakaoplattform.ch/about-cocoa/cocoa-facts-and-figures

https://www.movieposters.com/products/daliland-mpw-138836

https://twitter.com/stillgray/status/1773234188663054751

https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1773240336292393144

(0:00) Bestie Intros: Don't spoil Dune 2!

(0:55) DOJ drops antitrust suit on Apple

(23:36) Apple reportedly in talks with Google and OpenAI to power AI features on iPhone

(32:17) NAR settlement: how it impacts residential real estate going forward

(44:30) Microsoft's "Shadow Acquihire" of Inflection AI

(48:43) How the besties would deploy $40B in AI as a sovereign wealth fund

(1:01:57) Reddit IPO: is risk-on back?

(1:07:17) Science Corner(s): Universe expansion, first pig kidney transplant in human, Neuralink

Follow the besties:

https://twitter.com/chamath

https://twitter.com/Jason

https://twitter.com/DavidSacks

https://twitter.com/friedberg

Follow the pod:

https://twitter.com/theallinpod

https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast

Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.njd.544402/gov.uscourts.njd.544402.1.0_3.pdf

https://www.justice.gov/opa/pr/justice-department-sues-apple-monopolizing-smartphone-markets

https://www.google.com/finance/quote/AAPL:NASDAQ

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-03-18/apple-in-talks-to-license-google-gemini-for-iphone-ios-18-generative-ai-tools

https://www.macrumors.com/2023/10/11/google-pays-apple-billions-default-search

https://venturebeat.com/ai/apple-releases-mgie-a-revolutionary-ai-model-for-instruction-based-image-editing

https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1769751534940918234

https://nypost.com/2024/02/26/business/google-to-relaunch-woke-gemini-ai-image-tool-in-few-weeks

https://twitter.com/Patworx/status/1760189582870536408

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QNv9PRDIhes

https://www.nbcnews.com/business/real-estate/national-association-realtors-settlement-changes-rcna143634

https://www.wsj.com/real-estate/realtors-settlement-change-buy-sell-homes-da45eb23

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-03-19/inflection-ai-plans-pivot-after-most-employees-go-to-microsoft

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-03-19/microsoft-hires-deepmind-co-founder-suleyman-to-run-consumer-ai

https://inflection.ai/inflection-ai-announces-1-3-billion-of-funding

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/03/19/business/saudi-arabia-investment-artificial-intelligence.html

https://www.cnbc.com/2024/03/21/reddit-ipo-rddt-starts-trading-on-nyse.html

https://www.wsj.com/economy/central-banking/fed-officials-still-see-three-cuts-this-year-0b039532

https://www.wsj.com/real-estate/commercial/americas-office-fire-sale-has-barely-begun-0c8d376f

https://www.foxweather.com/earth-space/nasa-webb-telescope-hubble-observations-universe-expansion-rate-question

https://www.massgeneral.org/news/press-release/worlds-first-genetically-edited-pig-kidney-transplant-into-living-recipient

https://twitter.com/neuralink/status/1770563939413496146