The Preference Cascade Is Only Getting Started

Zvi Mowshowitz surveys the sudden preference cascade on AI existential risk: shifting surveys and polls, Elon Musk and Matthew Yglesias weighing in, Jacob Coxon’s AMA, Bilal Chughtai’s resignation from DeepMind, Dan Selsam’s essay on why merely pacing the frontier will not be enough, and what it would actually take to get through this alive.

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* 00:00 - Introduction

* 01:35 - The Cascade Was a Long Time Coming

* 03:13 - The Cascade Has Reached The People

* 05:25 - Elon Musk Doubles Down

* 06:02 - Matthew Yglesias Steps Up

* 09:18 - Op-Eds and Posts Are Written

* 11:24 - Jacob Coxon AMA

* 17:54 - Bilal Chughtai Quits DeepMind and Sounds the Alarm

* 20:55 - The Cascade Is Insufficient

* 22:08 - What Would It Take

* 29:07 - OpenAI’s Dan Selsam Sounds A Louder Alarm

* 43:54 - Some People Worry On Meta Levels You Never Imagined

* 45:09 - Two Kinds of Threats

* 46:43 - The Two Towers and The Narrow Path

* 48:42 - A Specific, Detailed Story About AI Killing Everyone That Doesn’t Sound To Me Like Science Fiction

* 51:48 - What Can I Do About It?

https://thezvi.substack.com/p/the-preference-cascade-is-only-getting?r=67y1h&utm_campaign=post-expanded-share&utm_medium=web

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