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ForeCast

When Will AI Transform the Physical World? (with Tom Davidson and Will MacAskill)

2 tim 53 min•22 januari 2026

Om avsnittet

Tom Davidson and Will MacAskill are both researchers at Forethought.

They discuss:

  • What is the industrial explosion?
  • Why the case for recursive self-improvement is stronger for physical industry than for software
  • How fast the physical economy could grow, the case for weekly doubling times, and limits from natural resources
  • Why authoritarian regimes might have a structural advantage in the industrial explosion
  • Could a leading country outgrow the entire world to achieve decisive dominance?
  • Why does the industrial explosion get ~1% of the attention of the intelligence explosion?

You can read a full transcript here.

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