Episode 9: Is Ukraine Committing National Suicide?

Iuliia Mendel, who served as President Zelensky’s press secretary from 2019 to 2021, published an article in The Spectator on September 15, 2026, titled “Zelensky’s Strategy Is National Suicide.” In essence, she makes a compelling case that Ukraine is not simply losing its war with Russia but is being so thoroughly wrecked in the process that it is effectively committing national suicide.
 
Mendel made much the same case the following day, September 16, in a virtual address to an event at the European Parliament. She had intended to deliver the speech in person but was denied entry to the Parliament building and therefore had to appear virtually. Mendel attributes that decision to the sanctions President Zelensky had imposed on her three days earlier, although the European Parliament has not said why she was barred.
 
Mendel’s article and speech have generated substantial controversy, which is hardly surprising given the severity of her indictment and the fact that she served as Zelensky’s press secretary. My aim in this episode is to examine the arguments she makes in both her article and her European Parliament speech and explain why I think her description of what is happening to Ukraine is fundamentally correct.

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CHAPTERS

0:00 Intro
0:36 Yulia Mendel's "Zelensky's Strategy Is National Suicide"
1:23 Who is Yulia Mendel?
2:23 Her argument: national suicide, not just defeat
4:32 The five dimensions of disaster
5:30 1. Demographic disaster
7:26 Checking her numbers
10:23 Ukrainian casualty estimates
12:17 Can Ukraine recover demographically?
15:15 2. Economic disaster
16:43 Dependence on Western aid
20:22 Ukraine's debt
21:15 3. Territorial disaster
23:47 The threat to Odessa
25:31 4. Political disaster
28:16 Corruption
29:11 5. Security disaster
32:06 Recap: all five dimensions
34:15 The contrast with Russia
38:41 The West's responsibility
40:38 Conclusion

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MUSIC

"The Ice Giants" Kevin MacLeod (incompetech.com)
Licensed under Creative Commons: By Attribution 4.0 License
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/b...
Music modified (edited/remixed) from the original.